Case study

AARTIDRUGS

Aarti Drugs Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +4.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

Aarti Drugs Limited (AARTIDRUGS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is AARTIDRUGS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Aarti Drugs Limited (AARTIDRUGS) trades at ₹416,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, Aarti Drugs Limited (AARTIDRUGS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.7× earnings, ROE of 13.4%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

AARTIDRUGS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,799 Cr
Current price
₹416
P/E ratio
19.7×
P/B ratio
2.45×
Book value
₹170
Dividend yield
0.48%
ROCE
11.9%
ROE
13.4%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How AARTIDRUGS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is AARTIDRUGS overvalued? AARTIDRUGS P/E vs peers

AARTIDRUGS trades at 19.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

AARTIDRUGS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of AARTIDRUGS history (12%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
AARTIDRUGS 2027₹271₹433₹693+4%
AARTIDRUGS 2028₹234₹451₹872+8%
AARTIDRUGS 2029₹211₹470₹1,049+13%
AARTIDRUGS 2030₹192₹490₹1,246+18%
AARTIDRUGS 2031₹178₹510₹1,464+23%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability AARTIDRUGS goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹832 within 5 years

The bull case for AARTIDRUGS

  • AARTIDRUGS's P/E of 19.7x is lower than 63% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • AARTIDRUGS's return on equity of 13.4% ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,049.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹211.

AARTIDRUGS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years AARTIDRUGS compounded at 12%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹271-₹693, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

AARTIDRUGS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.1%
80% range₹271-₹693
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
13.0%
80% range₹211-₹1,049
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
22.5%
80% range₹178-₹1,464
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)28%

AARTIDRUGS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
AARTIDRUGS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds AARTIDRUGS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the AARTIDRUGS price target & forecast page.

AARTIDRUGS Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AARTIDRUGS scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

AARTIDRUGS MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AARTIDRUGS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha31.27%3.2×
Groww31.38%3.2×
DhanCHEAPEST31.27%3.2×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money31.42%3.2×
Pocketful31.52%3.2×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand Rathi31.27%3.2×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India31.38%3.2×

Compare every broker on the AARTIDRUGS MTF page.

About Aarti Drugs Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Aarti Drugs Limited (AARTIDRUGS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,799 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the AARTIDRUGS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Aarti Drugs Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

AARTIDRUGS analysis, FAQs

Is Aarti Drugs Limited (AARTIDRUGS) a good buy?

On the numbers, Aarti Drugs Limited (AARTIDRUGS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.7× earnings, ROE of 13.4%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is AARTIDRUGS overvalued or undervalued?

AARTIDRUGS trades at 19.7× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the AARTIDRUGS share price target for 2031?

AARTIDRUGS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹510, with an 80% range of ₹178-₹1,464 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability AARTIDRUGS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of AARTIDRUGS reaching ₹832 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for AARTIDRUGS?

AARTIDRUGS's P/E of 19.7x is lower than 63% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. AARTIDRUGS's return on equity of 13.4% ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in AARTIDRUGS?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on AARTIDRUGS