Case study

AARTIIND

Aarti Industries Limited

Tread carefully1y model +4.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

39Score

Aarti Industries Limited (AARTIIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is AARTIIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Aarti Industries Limited (AARTIIND) trades at ₹502,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, Aarti Industries Limited (AARTIIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 34.9× earnings, ROE of 7.1%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

AARTIIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹18,213 Cr
Current price
₹502
P/E ratio
34.9×
P/B ratio
3.06×
Book value
₹164
Dividend yield
0.20%
ROCE
6.8%
ROE
7.1%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How AARTIIND ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener

Is AARTIIND overvalued? AARTIIND P/E vs peers

AARTIIND trades at 34.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

AARTIIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of AARTIIND history (13%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
AARTIIND 2027₹322₹523₹851+4%
AARTIIND 2028₹271₹546₹1,100+9%
AARTIIND 2029₹243₹569₹1,332+13%
AARTIIND 2030₹221₹593₹1,591+18%
AARTIIND 2031₹209₹618₹1,831+23%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability AARTIIND goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
60%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,004 within 5 years

The bull case for AARTIIND

  • Aarti Industries Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,332.

The bear case & risks

  • AARTIIND's P/E of 34.9x is lower than 40% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • AARTIIND's return on equity of 7.1% ranks in the 37th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹243.

AARTIIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years AARTIIND compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹322-₹851, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

AARTIIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.3%
80% range₹322-₹851
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
13.3%
80% range₹243-₹1,332
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
23.1%
80% range₹209-₹1,831
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)28%

AARTIIND price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
AARTIIND simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds AARTIIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the AARTIIND price target & forecast page.

AARTIIND Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AARTIIND scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

AARTIIND MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AARTIIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox32.91%3.0×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.87%3.0×
Groww32.99%3.0×
Dhan32.87%3.0×
Kotak Neo32.89%3.0×
Paytm Money33.58%3.0×
Pocketful33.25%3.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST32.87%3.0×
Bajaj Broking34.00%2.9×
Share India32.95%3.0×

Compare every broker on the AARTIIND MTF page.

About Aarti Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Aarti Industries Limited (AARTIIND) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹18,213 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the AARTIIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Aarti Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

AARTIIND analysis, FAQs

Is Aarti Industries Limited (AARTIIND) a good buy?

On the numbers, Aarti Industries Limited (AARTIIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 34.9× earnings, ROE of 7.1%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is AARTIIND overvalued or undervalued?

AARTIIND trades at 34.9× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the AARTIIND share price target for 2031?

AARTIIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹618, with an 80% range of ₹209-₹1,831 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability AARTIIND doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of AARTIIND reaching ₹1,004 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for AARTIIND?

Aarti Industries Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in AARTIIND?

AARTIIND's P/E of 34.9x is lower than 40% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. AARTIIND's return on equity of 7.1% ranks in the 37th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.

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