ABCAPITAL
Aditya Birla Capital Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Aditya Birla Capital Limited (ABCAPITAL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ABCAPITAL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Aditya Birla Capital Limited (ABCAPITAL) trades at ₹408,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, Aditya Birla Capital Limited (ABCAPITAL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 27.7× earnings, ROE of 12.0%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ABCAPITAL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How ABCAPITAL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- ABCAPITAL's market cap of 1.12L Cr ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ABCAPITAL's book value of ₹131 ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ABCAPITAL's promoter holding of 68.8% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ABCAPITAL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -7.0% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ABCAPITAL's 3-year revenue growth of 15.0% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for ABCAPITAL, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is ABCAPITAL overvalued? ABCAPITAL P/E vs peers
ABCAPITAL trades at 27.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
ABCAPITAL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.8y of ABCAPITAL history (6%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABCAPITAL 2027 | ₹288 | ₹438 | ₹667 | +7% |
| ABCAPITAL 2028 | ₹255 | ₹471 | ₹869 | +15% |
| ABCAPITAL 2029 | ₹244 | ₹506 | ₹1,051 | +24% |
| ABCAPITAL 2030 | ₹234 | ₹544 | ₹1,261 | +33% |
| ABCAPITAL 2031 | ₹230 | ₹584 | ₹1,483 | +43% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ABCAPITAL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ABCAPITAL
- ABCAPITAL's return on equity of 12.0% ranks in the 59th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,051.
The bear case & risks
- ABCAPITAL's P/E of 27.7x is lower than 49% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹244.
ABCAPITAL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 8.8 years ABCAPITAL compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹288-₹667, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ABCAPITAL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ABCAPITAL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ABCAPITAL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ABCAPITAL price target & forecast page.
ABCAPITAL Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ABCAPITAL scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
ABCAPITAL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ABCAPITAL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 27.70% | 3.6× |
| Zerodha | 26.60% | 3.8× |
| Groww | 26.63% | 3.8× |
| Dhan | 24.24% | 4.1× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 24.21% | 4.1× |
| Paytm Money | 24.78% | 4.0× |
| Pocketful | 31.29% | 3.2× |
| Anand Rathi | 31.24% | 3.2× |
| Bajaj Broking | 25.00% | 4.0× |
| Share India | 31.29% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the ABCAPITAL MTF page.
About Aditya Birla Capital Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Aditya Birla Capital Limited (ABCAPITAL) is a large-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.12L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ABCAPITAL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Aditya Birla Capital Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ABCAPITAL analysis, FAQs
Is Aditya Birla Capital Limited (ABCAPITAL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Aditya Birla Capital Limited (ABCAPITAL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 27.7× earnings, ROE of 12.0%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ABCAPITAL overvalued or undervalued?
ABCAPITAL trades at 27.7× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the ABCAPITAL share price target for 2031?
ABCAPITAL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹584, with an 80% range of ₹230-₹1,483 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ABCAPITAL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ABCAPITAL reaching ₹816 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.
What is the bull case for ABCAPITAL?
ABCAPITAL's return on equity of 12.0% ranks in the 59th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in ABCAPITAL?
ABCAPITAL's P/E of 27.7x is lower than 49% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.