ABCAPITAL
Aditya Birla Capital
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Aditya Birla Capital (ABCAPITAL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ABCAPITAL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Aditya Birla Capital (ABCAPITAL) trades at ₹392,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, Aditya Birla Capital (ABCAPITAL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 27.0× earnings, ROE of 11.7%, a 71% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ABCAPITAL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is ABCAPITAL overvalued? ABCAPITAL P/E vs its sector
ABCAPITAL's P/E of 27.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
ABCAPITAL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of ABCAPITAL history (23%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABCAPITAL 2027 | ₹294 | ₹449 | ₹681 | +19% |
| ABCAPITAL 2028 | ₹301 | ₹539 | ₹971 | +43% |
| ABCAPITAL 2029 | ₹314 | ₹644 | ₹1,323 | +71% |
| ABCAPITAL 2030 | ₹335 | ₹761 | ₹1,783 | +102% |
| ABCAPITAL 2031 | ₹364 | ₹911 | ₹2,344 | +142% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ABCAPITAL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ABCAPITAL
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 71% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹449 (+19%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,323.
The bear case & risks
- At 27.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 11.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹314.
ABCAPITAL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years ABCAPITAL compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹294–₹681, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ABCAPITAL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ABCAPITAL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ABCAPITAL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ABCAPITAL price target & forecast page.
ABCAPITAL Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. ABCAPITAL scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
ABCAPITAL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ABCAPITAL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 31.2% | 3.2× |
| Zerodha | 26.6% | 3.8× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 24.2% | 4.1× |
Compare every broker on the ABCAPITAL MTF page.
ABCAPITAL vs peers,sector comparison
About Aditya Birla Capital: sector, index & market-cap context
Aditya Birla Capital (ABCAPITAL) is a large-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.03L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the ABCAPITAL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Aditya Birla Capital's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ABCAPITAL analysis, FAQs
Is Aditya Birla Capital (ABCAPITAL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Aditya Birla Capital (ABCAPITAL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 27.0× earnings, ROE of 11.7%, a 71% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ABCAPITAL overvalued or undervalued?
ABCAPITAL trades at 27.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the ABCAPITAL share price target for 2031?
ABCAPITAL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹911, with an 80% range of ₹364–₹2,344 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ABCAPITAL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ABCAPITAL reaching ₹752 (2×) within 5 years is 61%.
What is the bull case for ABCAPITAL?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 71% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹449 (+19%).
What are the risks in ABCAPITAL?
At 27.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 11.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.