ABDL
Allied Blenders And Distillers Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Allied Blenders And Distillers Limited (ABDL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ABDL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Allied Blenders And Distillers Limited (ABDL) trades at ₹599,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.
On the numbers, Allied Blenders And Distillers Limited (ABDL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 75.1× earnings, ROE of 14.3%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ABDL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How ABDL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- ABDL's market cap of 16,762 Cr ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ABDL's book value of ₹59 ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ABDL's promoter holding of 80.9% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ABDL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 422.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ABDL's 3-year revenue growth of 8.0% ranks in the 44th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ABDL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is ABDL overvalued? ABDL P/E vs peers
ABDL trades at 75.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
ABDL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.1y of ABDL history (31%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABDL 2027 | ₹364 | ₹615 | ₹1,039 | +3% |
| ABDL 2028 | ₹300 | ₹632 | ₹1,331 | +5% |
| ABDL 2029 | ₹263 | ₹648 | ₹1,602 | +8% |
| ABDL 2030 | ₹232 | ₹666 | ₹1,907 | +11% |
| ABDL 2031 | ₹211 | ₹683 | ₹2,212 | +14% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ABDL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ABDL
- ABDL's return on equity of 14.3% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ABDL's return on capital employed of 18.4% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,602.
The bear case & risks
- ABDL's P/E of 75.1x is lower than 16% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 10.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹263.
ABDL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.1 years ABDL compounded at 31%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹364-₹1,039, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ABDL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ABDL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ABDL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ABDL price target & forecast page.
ABDL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ABDL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
ABDL MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ABDL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 33.63% | 3.0× |
| Zerodha | 33.59% | 3.0× |
| Groww | 33.77% | 3.0× |
| Dhan | 33.59% | 3.0× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 33.56% | 3.0× |
| Paytm Money | 33.77% | 3.0× |
| Pocketful | 33.88% | 3.0× |
| Fyers | 34.48% | 2.9× |
| Anand Rathi | 33.59% | 3.0× |
| Bajaj Broking | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share India | 33.73% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the ABDL MTF page.
About Allied Blenders And Distillers Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Allied Blenders And Distillers Limited (ABDL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹16,762 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ABDL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Allied Blenders And Distillers Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ABDL analysis, FAQs
Is Allied Blenders And Distillers Limited (ABDL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Allied Blenders And Distillers Limited (ABDL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 75.1× earnings, ROE of 14.3%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ABDL overvalued or undervalued?
ABDL trades at 75.1× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the ABDL share price target for 2031?
ABDL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹683, with an 80% range of ₹211-₹2,212 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ABDL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ABDL reaching ₹1,199 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.
What is the bull case for ABDL?
ABDL's return on equity of 14.3% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ABDL's return on capital employed of 18.4% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in ABDL?
ABDL's P/E of 75.1x is lower than 16% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 10.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.