Case study

ABINFRA

AB Infrabuild

Tread carefully1y model +3.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

42Score

AB Infrabuild (ABINFRA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ABINFRA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

AB Infrabuild (ABINFRA) trades at ₹10,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100.

On the numbers, AB Infrabuild (ABINFRA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 32.9× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ABINFRA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹636 Cr
Current price
₹10
P/E ratio
32.9×
P/B ratio
3.76×
Book value
₹3
Dividend yield
0.05%
ROCE
16.1%
ROE
13.8%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How ABINFRA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ABINFRA overvalued? ABINFRA P/E vs peers

ABINFRA trades at 32.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ABINFRA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 6.9y of ABINFRA history (23%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ABINFRA 2027₹5₹10₹20+3%
ABINFRA 2028₹4₹11₹26+7%
ABINFRA 2029₹4₹11₹33+10%
ABINFRA 2030₹3₹11₹40+14%
ABINFRA 2031₹3₹12₹49+18%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ABINFRA goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
56%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
32%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹20 within 5 years

The bull case for ABINFRA

  • ABINFRA's return on equity of 13.8% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹33.

The bear case & risks

  • ABINFRA's P/E of 32.9x is lower than 42% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹4.

ABINFRA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 6.9 years ABINFRA compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹5-₹20, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ABINFRA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 6.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.4%
80% range₹5-₹20
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
10.4%
80% range₹4-₹33
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)25%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
18.0%
80% range₹3-₹49
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)32%

ABINFRA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ABINFRA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ABINFRA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ABINFRA price target & forecast page.

ABINFRA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ABINFRA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

ABINFRA MTF margin & leverage across 3 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ABINFRA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 3 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Groww50.00%2.0×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST36.91%2.7×

Compare every broker on the ABINFRA MTF page.

About AB Infrabuild: sector, index & market-cap context

AB Infrabuild (ABINFRA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹636 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ABINFRA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of AB Infrabuild's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ABINFRA analysis, FAQs

Is AB Infrabuild (ABINFRA) a good buy?

On the numbers, AB Infrabuild (ABINFRA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 32.9× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ABINFRA overvalued or undervalued?

ABINFRA trades at 32.9× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ABINFRA share price target for 2031?

ABINFRA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹12, with an 80% range of ₹3-₹49 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ABINFRA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ABINFRA reaching ₹20 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.

What is the bull case for ABINFRA?

ABINFRA's return on equity of 13.8% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ABINFRA?

ABINFRA's P/E of 32.9x is lower than 42% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on ABINFRA