ABLBL
ADITYA BIRLA LIFES BRAN L
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
ADITYA BIRLA LIFES BRAN L (ABLBL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ABLBL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
ADITYA BIRLA LIFES BRAN L (ABLBL) trades at ₹99,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100.
On the numbers, ADITYA BIRLA LIFES BRAN L (ABLBL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 57.5× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 7% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ABLBL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is ABLBL overvalued? ABLBL P/E vs its sector
ABLBL's P/E of 57.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
ABLBL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.0y of ABLBL history (-47%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABLBL 2027 | ₹36 | ₹58 | ₹91 | -40% |
| ABLBL 2028 | ₹17 | ₹34 | ₹66 | -65% |
| ABLBL 2029 | ₹9 | ₹20 | ₹45 | -79% |
| ABLBL 2030 | ₹5 | ₹12 | ₹29 | -88% |
| ABLBL 2031 | ₹2 | ₹7 | ₹19 | -93% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ABLBL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ABLBL
- A healthy 15.6% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹45.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 57.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 8.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 7% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹9.
ABLBL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.0 years ABLBL compounded at -47%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹36–₹91, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ABLBL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ABLBL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ABLBL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ABLBL price target & forecast page.
ABLBL Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. ABLBL scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
ABLBL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ABLBL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 30.1% | 3.3× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.1% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.1% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the ABLBL MTF page.
ABLBL vs peers,sector comparison
About ADITYA BIRLA LIFES BRAN L: sector, index & market-cap context
ADITYA BIRLA LIFES BRAN L (ABLBL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹12,030 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the ABLBL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ADITYA BIRLA LIFES BRAN L's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ABLBL analysis, FAQs
Is ADITYA BIRLA LIFES BRAN L (ABLBL) a good buy?
On the numbers, ADITYA BIRLA LIFES BRAN L (ABLBL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 57.5× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 7% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ABLBL overvalued or undervalued?
ABLBL trades at 57.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the ABLBL share price target for 2031?
ABLBL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹7, with an 80% range of ₹2–₹19 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ABLBL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ABLBL reaching ₹194 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for ABLBL?
A healthy 15.6% return on equity.
What are the risks in ABLBL?
A rich 57.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 8.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.