ABREL
Century Textiles
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Century Textiles (ABREL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ABREL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Century Textiles (ABREL) trades at ₹1,314,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100.
On the numbers, Century Textiles (ABREL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100, weighing expensive at 331.0× earnings, ROE of -7.4%, a 18% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ABREL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is ABREL overvalued? ABREL P/E vs its sector
ABREL's P/E of 331.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.15% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
ABREL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of ABREL history (-31%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABREL 2027 | ₹504 | ₹866 | ₹1,469 | -32% |
| ABREL 2028 | ₹270 | ₹585 | ₹1,254 | -54% |
| ABREL 2029 | ₹152 | ₹394 | ₹1,021 | -69% |
| ABREL 2030 | ₹90 | ₹265 | ₹775 | -79% |
| ABREL 2031 | ₹54 | ₹179 | ₹599 | -86% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ABREL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ABREL
- Century Textiles is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,021.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 331.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 18% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹152.
ABREL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years ABREL compounded at -31%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹504–₹1,469, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ABREL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ABREL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ABREL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ABREL price target & forecast page.
ABREL Piotroski F-Score: 2/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. ABREL scores 2/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
ABREL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ABREL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 34.7% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 34.7% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the ABREL MTF page.
ABREL vs peers,sector comparison
About Century Textiles: sector, index & market-cap context
Century Textiles (ABREL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹14,713 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the ABREL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Century Textiles's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ABREL analysis, FAQs
Is Century Textiles (ABREL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Century Textiles (ABREL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100, weighing expensive at 331.0× earnings, ROE of -7.4%, a 18% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ABREL overvalued or undervalued?
ABREL trades at 331.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the ABREL share price target for 2031?
ABREL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹179, with an 80% range of ₹54–₹599 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ABREL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ABREL reaching ₹2,559 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for ABREL?
Century Textiles is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in ABREL?
A rich 331.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 18% chance of finishing above today's price.