Case study

ABSLAMC

Aditya Birla Sun Life Amc Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +3.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

62Score

Aditya Birla Sun Life Amc Limited (ABSLAMC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ABSLAMC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Aditya Birla Sun Life Amc Limited (ABSLAMC) trades at ₹1,025,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100.

On the numbers, Aditya Birla Sun Life Amc Limited (ABSLAMC) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing premium at 29.4× earnings, ROE of 25.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ABSLAMC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹29,658 Cr
Current price
₹1,025
P/E ratio
29.4×
P/B ratio
7.32×
Book value
₹140
Dividend yield
2.49%
ROCE
32.2%
ROE
25.2%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How ABSLAMC ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ABSLAMC overvalued? ABSLAMC P/E vs peers

ABSLAMC trades at 29.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ABSLAMC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 4.7y of ABSLAMC history (8%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ABSLAMC 2027₹659₹1,061₹1,709+3%
ABSLAMC 2028₹561₹1,098₹2,150+7%
ABSLAMC 2029₹498₹1,137₹2,594+11%
ABSLAMC 2030₹457₹1,176₹3,028+15%
ABSLAMC 2031₹417₹1,217₹3,554+19%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ABSLAMC goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
58%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,051 within 5 years

The bull case for ABSLAMC

  • ABSLAMC's return on equity of 25.2% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ABSLAMC's return on capital employed of 32.2% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ABSLAMC's dividend yield of 2.5% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,594.

The bear case & risks

  • ABSLAMC's P/E of 29.4x is lower than 47% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹498.

ABSLAMC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 4.7 years ABSLAMC compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹659-₹1,709, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ABSLAMC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 4.7 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.5%
80% range₹659-₹1,709
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
10.9%
80% range₹498-₹2,594
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
18.7%
80% range₹417-₹3,554
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)27%

ABSLAMC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ABSLAMC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ABSLAMC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ABSLAMC price target & forecast page.

ABSLAMC Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ABSLAMC scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

ABSLAMC MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ABSLAMC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox32.66%3.1×
Zerodha32.61%3.1×
Groww32.74%3.1×
Dhan32.61%3.1×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST32.57%3.1×
Paytm Money32.87%3.0×
Pocketful32.58%3.1×
Anand Rathi32.61%3.1×
Bajaj Broking33.00%3.0×
Share India32.71%3.1×

Compare every broker on the ABSLAMC MTF page.

About Aditya Birla Sun Life Amc Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Aditya Birla Sun Life Amc Limited (ABSLAMC) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹29,658 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ABSLAMC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Aditya Birla Sun Life Amc Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ABSLAMC analysis, FAQs

Is Aditya Birla Sun Life Amc Limited (ABSLAMC) a good buy?

On the numbers, Aditya Birla Sun Life Amc Limited (ABSLAMC) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing premium at 29.4× earnings, ROE of 25.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ABSLAMC overvalued or undervalued?

ABSLAMC trades at 29.4× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ABSLAMC share price target for 2031?

ABSLAMC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,217, with an 80% range of ₹417-₹3,554 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ABSLAMC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ABSLAMC reaching ₹2,051 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for ABSLAMC?

ABSLAMC's return on equity of 25.2% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ABSLAMC's return on capital employed of 32.2% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ABSLAMC's dividend yield of 2.5% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ABSLAMC?

ABSLAMC's P/E of 29.4x is lower than 47% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on ABSLAMC