ABSLAMC
Adit Birl Sun Lif AMC
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Adit Birl Sun Lif AMC (ABSLAMC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ABSLAMC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Adit Birl Sun Lif AMC (ABSLAMC) trades at ₹1,180,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 70/100.
On the numbers, Adit Birl Sun Lif AMC (ABSLAMC) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 70/100, weighing premium at 34.9× earnings, ROE of 25.2%, a 74% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ABSLAMC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is ABSLAMC overvalued? ABSLAMC P/E vs its sector
ABSLAMC's P/E of 34.9× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 2.03% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
ABSLAMC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of ABSLAMC history (30%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABSLAMC 2027 | ₹931 | ₹1,492 | ₹2,374 | +26% |
| ABSLAMC 2028 | ₹979 | ₹1,879 | ₹3,683 | +59% |
| ABSLAMC 2029 | ₹1,051 | ₹2,369 | ₹5,277 | +101% |
| ABSLAMC 2030 | ₹1,183 | ₹2,991 | ₹7,603 | +153% |
| ABSLAMC 2031 | ₹1,322 | ₹3,737 | ₹10,630 | +217% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ABSLAMC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ABSLAMC
- High return on equity (25.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (32.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Pays a 2.0% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 74% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,492 (+26%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹5,277.
The bear case & risks
- At 34.9× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- A steep 8.4× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,051.
ABSLAMC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years ABSLAMC compounded at 30%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹931–₹2,374, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ABSLAMC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ABSLAMC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ABSLAMC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ABSLAMC price target & forecast page.
ABSLAMC Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. ABSLAMC scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
ABSLAMC MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ABSLAMC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 32.7% | 3.1× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.7% | 3.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.7% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the ABSLAMC MTF page.
ABSLAMC vs peers,sector comparison
About Adit Birl Sun Lif AMC: sector, index & market-cap context
Adit Birl Sun Lif AMC (ABSLAMC) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹34,128 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the ABSLAMC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Adit Birl Sun Lif AMC's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ABSLAMC analysis, FAQs
Is Adit Birl Sun Lif AMC (ABSLAMC) a good buy?
On the numbers, Adit Birl Sun Lif AMC (ABSLAMC) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 70/100, weighing premium at 34.9× earnings, ROE of 25.2%, a 74% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ABSLAMC overvalued or undervalued?
ABSLAMC trades at 34.9× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the ABSLAMC share price target for 2031?
ABSLAMC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,737, with an 80% range of ₹1,322–₹10,630 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ABSLAMC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ABSLAMC reaching ₹2,361 (2×) within 5 years is 71%.
What is the bull case for ABSLAMC?
High return on equity (25.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (32.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. Pays a 2.0% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
What are the risks in ABSLAMC?
At 34.9× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. A steep 8.4× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.