Case study

ACCELYA

Accelya Solutions India Limited

Screens attractive1y model +3.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

72Score

Accelya Solutions India Limited (ACCELYA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ACCELYA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Accelya Solutions India Limited (ACCELYA) trades at ₹1,144,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100.

On the numbers, Accelya Solutions India Limited (ACCELYA) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.4× earnings, ROE of 39.3%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ACCELYA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,707 Cr
Current price
₹1,144
P/E ratio
16.4×
P/B ratio
6.81×
Book value
₹168
Dividend yield
3.93%
ROCE
49.4%
ROE
39.3%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How ACCELYA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ACCELYA overvalued? ACCELYA P/E vs peers

ACCELYA trades at 16.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ACCELYA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ACCELYA history (-1%/yr drift, 26%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ACCELYA 2027₹854₹1,186₹1,647+4%
ACCELYA 2028₹766₹1,230₹1,974+8%
ACCELYA 2029₹713₹1,275₹2,279+11%
ACCELYA 2030₹674₹1,322₹2,595+16%
ACCELYA 2031₹645₹1,371₹2,913+20%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ACCELYA goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
62%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
19%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,287 within 5 years

The bull case for ACCELYA

  • ACCELYA's P/E of 16.4x is lower than 70% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ACCELYA's return on equity of 39.3% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ACCELYA's return on capital employed of 49.4% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ACCELYA's dividend yield of 3.9% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,279.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹713.

ACCELYA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ACCELYA compounded at -1%/year with annualized volatility of 26%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹854-₹1,647, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ACCELYA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.7%
80% range₹854-₹1,647
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
11.5%
80% range₹713-₹2,279
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)10%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
19.9%
80% range₹645-₹2,913
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)19%

ACCELYA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ACCELYA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ACCELYA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ACCELYA price target & forecast page.

ACCELYA Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ACCELYA scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

ACCELYA MTF margin & leverage across 6 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ACCELYA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 6 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST27.78%3.6×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST27.78%3.6×
Bajaj Broking35.00%2.9×
Share India27.88%3.6×

Compare every broker on the ACCELYA MTF page.

About Accelya Solutions India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Accelya Solutions India Limited (ACCELYA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,707 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ACCELYA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Accelya Solutions India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ACCELYA analysis, FAQs

Is Accelya Solutions India Limited (ACCELYA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Accelya Solutions India Limited (ACCELYA) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.4× earnings, ROE of 39.3%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ACCELYA overvalued or undervalued?

ACCELYA trades at 16.4× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ACCELYA share price target for 2031?

ACCELYA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,371, with an 80% range of ₹645-₹2,913 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ACCELYA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ACCELYA reaching ₹2,287 (2×) within 5 years is 19%.

What is the bull case for ACCELYA?

ACCELYA's P/E of 16.4x is lower than 70% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ACCELYA's return on equity of 39.3% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ACCELYA's return on capital employed of 49.4% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ACCELYA?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on ACCELYA