Case study

ACI

Archean Chemical Industries Limited

Tread carefully1y model +3.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

Archean Chemical Industries Limited (ACI) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ACI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Archean Chemical Industries Limited (ACI) trades at ₹507,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, Archean Chemical Industries Limited (ACI) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 64.6× earnings, ROE of 5.4%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ACI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹6,255 Cr
Current price
₹507
P/E ratio
64.6×
P/B ratio
3.23×
Book value
₹157
Dividend yield
0.49%
ROCE
7.4%
ROE
5.4%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How ACI ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ACI overvalued? ACI P/E vs peers

ACI trades at 64.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ACI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 3.6y of ACI history (3%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ACI 2027₹328₹523₹835+3%
ACI 2028₹277₹541₹1,054+7%
ACI 2029₹247₹558₹1,262+10%
ACI 2030₹227₹577₹1,465+14%
ACI 2031₹205₹596₹1,731+18%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ACI goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
58%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,013 within 5 years

The bull case for ACI

  • Archean Chemical Industries Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,262.

The bear case & risks

  • ACI's P/E of 64.6x is lower than 19% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ACI's return on equity of 5.4% ranks in the 31st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹247.

ACI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 3.6 years ACI compounded at 3%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹328-₹835, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ACI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 3.6 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.3%
80% range₹328-₹835
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
10.2%
80% range₹247-₹1,262
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
17.6%
80% range₹205-₹1,731
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)25%

ACI price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ACI simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ACI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ACI price target & forecast page.

ACI Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ACI scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

ACI MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ACI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha31.76%3.1×
Groww31.86%3.1×
Dhan31.76%3.1×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money41.85%2.4×
PocketfulCHEAPEST31.36%3.2×
Fyers32.26%3.1×
Anand Rathi31.76%3.1×
Bajaj Broking33.00%3.0×
Share India31.85%3.1×

Compare every broker on the ACI MTF page.

About Archean Chemical Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Archean Chemical Industries Limited (ACI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,255 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ACI Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Archean Chemical Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ACI analysis, FAQs

Is Archean Chemical Industries Limited (ACI) a good buy?

On the numbers, Archean Chemical Industries Limited (ACI) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 64.6× earnings, ROE of 5.4%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ACI overvalued or undervalued?

ACI trades at 64.6× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ACI share price target for 2031?

ACI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹596, with an 80% range of ₹205-₹1,731 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ACI doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ACI reaching ₹1,013 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for ACI?

Archean Chemical Industries Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in ACI?

ACI's P/E of 64.6x is lower than 19% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ACI's return on equity of 5.4% ranks in the 31st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on ACI