Case study

ADANIENSOL

Adani Energy Solution

High-risk on the numbers1y model +10.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Adani Energy Solution (ADANIENSOL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ADANIENSOL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Adani Energy Solution (ADANIENSOL) trades at ₹1,539,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100.

On the numbers, Adani Energy Solution (ADANIENSOL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing expensive at 82.6× earnings, ROE of 9.4%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ADANIENSOL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.85L Cr
Current price
₹1,539
P/E ratio
82.6×
P/B ratio
7.26×
Book value
₹212
ROCE
9.7%
ROE
9.4%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is ADANIENSOL overvalued? ADANIENSOL P/E vs its sector

ADANIENSOL's P/E of 82.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

ADANIENSOL P/E
82.6×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

ADANIENSOL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of ADANIENSOL history (21%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ADANIENSOL 2027₹951₹1,700₹3,109+10%
ADANIENSOL 2028₹818₹1,897₹4,303+23%
ADANIENSOL 2029₹754₹2,086₹5,843+36%
ADANIENSOL 2030₹708₹2,323₹7,757+51%
ADANIENSOL 2031₹694₹2,584₹9,750+68%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ADANIENSOL goes up, or doubles?

58%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
69%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
44%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,079 within 5 years

The bull case for ADANIENSOL

  • Adani Energy Solution is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹5,843.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 82.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 9.4%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹754.

ADANIENSOL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years ADANIENSOL compounded at 21%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹951₹3,109, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ADANIENSOL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
10.4%
80% range₹951–₹3,109
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)10%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
35.5%
80% range₹754–₹5,843
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)31%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
67.9%
80% range₹694–₹9,750
P(price ↑)69%
P(price 2×)44%

ADANIENSOL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ADANIENSOL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ADANIENSOL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ADANIENSOL price target & forecast page.

ADANIENSOL Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. ADANIENSOL scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

ADANIENSOL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ADANIENSOL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox36.1%2.8×
Zerodha30.8%3.2×
DhanCHEAPEST30.0%3.3×

Compare every broker on the ADANIENSOL MTF page.

ADANIENSOL vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
ADANIENSOL (this stock)82.6×₹1.85L Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Adani Energy Solution: sector, index & market-cap context

Adani Energy Solution (ADANIENSOL) is a large-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.85L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.

How the ADANIENSOL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Adani Energy Solution's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ADANIENSOL analysis, FAQs

Is Adani Energy Solution (ADANIENSOL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Adani Energy Solution (ADANIENSOL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing expensive at 82.6× earnings, ROE of 9.4%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ADANIENSOL overvalued or undervalued?

ADANIENSOL trades at 82.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the ADANIENSOL share price target for 2031?

ADANIENSOL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,584, with an 80% range of ₹694₹9,750 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ADANIENSOL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ADANIENSOL reaching ₹3,079 (2×) within 5 years is 44%.

What is the bull case for ADANIENSOL?

Adani Energy Solution is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in ADANIENSOL?

A rich 82.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 9.4%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on ADANIENSOL