Case study

ADANIENSOL

Adani Energy Solutions Ltd

High-risk on the numbers1y model +3.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

28Score

Adani Energy Solutions Ltd (ADANIENSOL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ADANIENSOL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Adani Energy Solutions Ltd (ADANIENSOL) trades at ₹1,630,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.

On the numbers, Adani Energy Solutions Ltd (ADANIENSOL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 68.3× earnings, ROE of 9.4%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ADANIENSOL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.99L Cr
Current price
₹1,630
P/E ratio
68.3×
P/B ratio
7.69×
Book value
₹212
ROCE
9.7%
ROE
9.4%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How ADANIENSOL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ADANIENSOL overvalued? ADANIENSOL P/E vs peers

ADANIENSOL trades at 68.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ADANIENSOL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ADANIENSOL history (38%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ADANIENSOL 2027₹936₹1,681₹3,019+3%
ADANIENSOL 2028₹751₹1,733₹3,995+6%
ADANIENSOL 2029₹650₹1,786₹4,913+10%
ADANIENSOL 2030₹580₹1,842₹5,852+13%
ADANIENSOL 2031₹508₹1,899₹7,097+16%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ADANIENSOL goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
56%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
30%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,260 within 5 years

The bull case for ADANIENSOL

  • Adani Energy Solutions Ltd is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,913.

The bear case & risks

  • ADANIENSOL's P/E of 68.3x is lower than 17% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ADANIENSOL's return on equity of 9.4% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹650.

ADANIENSOL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ADANIENSOL compounded at 38%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹936-₹3,019, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ADANIENSOL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.1%
80% range₹936-₹3,019
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
9.6%
80% range₹650-₹4,913
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
16.5%
80% range₹508-₹7,097
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)30%

ADANIENSOL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ADANIENSOL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ADANIENSOL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ADANIENSOL price target & forecast page.

ADANIENSOL Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ADANIENSOL scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

ADANIENSOL MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ADANIENSOL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox31.51%3.2×
Zerodha29.80%3.4×
Groww29.95%3.3×
Dhan30.00%3.3×
Kotak Neo30.03%3.3×
Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST28.35%3.5×
Pocketful35.56%2.8×
Anand Rathi34.97%2.9×
Share India35.14%2.8×

Compare every broker on the ADANIENSOL MTF page.

About Adani Energy Solutions Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

Adani Energy Solutions Ltd (ADANIENSOL) is a large-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.99L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ADANIENSOL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Adani Energy Solutions Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ADANIENSOL analysis, FAQs

Is Adani Energy Solutions Ltd (ADANIENSOL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Adani Energy Solutions Ltd (ADANIENSOL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 68.3× earnings, ROE of 9.4%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ADANIENSOL overvalued or undervalued?

ADANIENSOL trades at 68.3× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ADANIENSOL share price target for 2031?

ADANIENSOL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,899, with an 80% range of ₹508-₹7,097 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ADANIENSOL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ADANIENSOL reaching ₹3,260 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.

What is the bull case for ADANIENSOL?

Adani Energy Solutions Ltd is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in ADANIENSOL?

ADANIENSOL's P/E of 68.3x is lower than 17% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ADANIENSOL's return on equity of 9.4% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on ADANIENSOL