Case study

ADFFOODS

ADF FOODS LIMITED

Mixed signals1y model +0.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

46Score

ADF FOODS LIMITED (ADFFOODS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ADFFOODS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

ADF FOODS LIMITED (ADFFOODS) trades at ₹260,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100.

On the numbers, ADF FOODS LIMITED (ADFFOODS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing premium at 29.5× earnings, ROE of 17.7%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ADFFOODS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,853 Cr
Current price
₹260
P/E ratio
29.5×
P/B ratio
4.99×
Book value
₹52
Dividend yield
0.46%
ROCE
21.8%
ROE
17.7%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How ADFFOODS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ADFFOODS overvalued? ADFFOODS P/E vs peers

ADFFOODS trades at 29.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ADFFOODS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ADFFOODS history (25%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ADFFOODS 2027₹141₹261₹486+1%
ADFFOODS 2028₹108₹263₹639+1%
ADFFOODS 2029₹88₹265₹796+2%
ADFFOODS 2030₹75₹267₹951+3%
ADFFOODS 2031₹65₹269₹1,102+3%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ADFFOODS goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
51%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹519 within 5 years

The bull case for ADFFOODS

  • ADFFOODS's return on equity of 17.7% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ADFFOODS's return on capital employed of 21.8% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹796.

The bear case & risks

  • ADFFOODS's P/E of 29.5x is lower than 47% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹88.

ADFFOODS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ADFFOODS compounded at 25%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹141-₹486, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ADFFOODS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.7%
80% range₹141-₹486
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
2.0%
80% range₹88-₹796
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
3.4%
80% range₹65-₹1,102
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)28%

ADFFOODS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ADFFOODS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ADFFOODS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ADFFOODS price target & forecast page.

ADFFOODS Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ADFFOODS scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

ADFFOODS MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ADFFOODS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox38.09%2.6×
Zerodha38.04%2.6×
Groww38.25%2.6×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money48.09%2.1×
PocketfulCHEAPEST37.43%2.7×
Anand Rathi38.04%2.6×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India38.20%2.6×

Compare every broker on the ADFFOODS MTF page.

About ADF FOODS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

ADF FOODS LIMITED (ADFFOODS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,853 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ADFFOODS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ADF FOODS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ADFFOODS analysis, FAQs

Is ADF FOODS LIMITED (ADFFOODS) a good buy?

On the numbers, ADF FOODS LIMITED (ADFFOODS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing premium at 29.5× earnings, ROE of 17.7%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ADFFOODS overvalued or undervalued?

ADFFOODS trades at 29.5× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ADFFOODS share price target for 2031?

ADFFOODS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹269, with an 80% range of ₹65-₹1,102 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ADFFOODS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ADFFOODS reaching ₹519 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for ADFFOODS?

ADFFOODS's return on equity of 17.7% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ADFFOODS's return on capital employed of 21.8% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ADFFOODS?

ADFFOODS's P/E of 29.5x is lower than 47% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on ADFFOODS