Case study

ADOR

Ador Welding Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +5.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

61Score

Ador Welding Limited (ADOR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ADOR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Ador Welding Limited (ADOR) trades at ₹1,483,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, Ador Welding Limited (ADOR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.3× earnings, ROE of 15.8%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ADOR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,582 Cr
Current price
₹1,483
P/E ratio
22.3×
P/B ratio
4.65×
Book value
₹319
Dividend yield
1.55%
ROCE
22.8%
ROE
15.8%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How ADOR ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ADOR overvalued? ADOR P/E vs peers

ADOR trades at 22.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ADOR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ADOR history (18%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ADOR 2027₹1,007₹1,558₹2,412+5%
ADOR 2028₹871₹1,637₹3,077+10%
ADOR 2029₹799₹1,720₹3,703+16%
ADOR 2030₹740₹1,807₹4,412+22%
ADOR 2031₹697₹1,898₹5,169+28%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ADOR goes up, or doubles?

56%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
63%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,967 within 5 years

The bull case for ADOR

  • ADOR's P/E of 22.3x is lower than 58% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ADOR's return on equity of 15.8% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ADOR's return on capital employed of 22.8% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,703.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹799.

ADOR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ADOR compounded at 18%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,007-₹2,412, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ADOR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.1%
80% range₹1,007-₹2,412
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
15.9%
80% range₹799-₹3,703
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
28.0%
80% range₹697-₹5,169
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)28%

ADOR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ADOR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ADOR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ADOR price target & forecast page.

ADOR Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ADOR scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

ADOR MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ADOR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha32.34%3.1×
Groww32.48%3.1×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money32.50%3.1×
PocketfulCHEAPEST32.10%3.1×
Anand Rathi32.34%3.1×
Share India32.48%3.1×

Compare every broker on the ADOR MTF page.

About Ador Welding Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Ador Welding Limited (ADOR) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,582 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ADOR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ador Welding Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ADOR analysis, FAQs

Is Ador Welding Limited (ADOR) a good buy?

On the numbers, Ador Welding Limited (ADOR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.3× earnings, ROE of 15.8%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ADOR overvalued or undervalued?

ADOR trades at 22.3× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ADOR share price target for 2031?

ADOR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,898, with an 80% range of ₹697-₹5,169 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ADOR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ADOR reaching ₹2,967 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for ADOR?

ADOR's P/E of 22.3x is lower than 58% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ADOR's return on equity of 15.8% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ADOR's return on capital employed of 22.8% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ADOR?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on ADOR