Case study

AEGISLOG

Aegis Logistics Limited

Tread carefully1y model -0.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

42Score

Aegis Logistics Limited (AEGISLOG) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is AEGISLOG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Aegis Logistics Limited (AEGISLOG) trades at ₹1,371,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100.

On the numbers, Aegis Logistics Limited (AEGISLOG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 38.5× earnings, ROE of 16.3%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

AEGISLOG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹48,122 Cr
Current price
₹1,371
P/E ratio
38.5×
P/B ratio
7.92×
Book value
₹173
Dividend yield
0.63%
ROCE
13.3%
ROE
16.3%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How AEGISLOG ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is AEGISLOG overvalued? AEGISLOG P/E vs peers

AEGISLOG trades at 38.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

AEGISLOG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of AEGISLOG history (25%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
AEGISLOG 2027₹752₹1,370₹2,496-0%
AEGISLOG 2028₹572₹1,370₹3,280-0%
AEGISLOG 2029₹469₹1,369₹3,994-0%
AEGISLOG 2030₹392₹1,368₹4,770-0%
AEGISLOG 2031₹342₹1,367₹5,471-0%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability AEGISLOG goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
50%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,742 within 5 years

The bull case for AEGISLOG

  • AEGISLOG's return on equity of 16.3% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,994.

The bear case & risks

  • AEGISLOG's P/E of 38.5x is lower than 35% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹469.

AEGISLOG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years AEGISLOG compounded at 25%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹752-₹2,496, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

AEGISLOG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.1%
80% range₹752-₹2,496
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
0.2%
80% range₹469-₹3,994
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
0.3%
80% range₹342-₹5,471
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)26%

AEGISLOG price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
AEGISLOG simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds AEGISLOG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the AEGISLOG price target & forecast page.

AEGISLOG Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AEGISLOG scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

AEGISLOG MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AEGISLOG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha37.94%2.6×
Groww38.07%2.6×
Kotak Neo37.88%2.6×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
PocketfulCHEAPEST37.83%2.6×
Anand Rathi100.00%1.0×
Share India38.07%2.6×

Compare every broker on the AEGISLOG MTF page.

About Aegis Logistics Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Aegis Logistics Limited (AEGISLOG) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹48,122 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the AEGISLOG Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Aegis Logistics Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

AEGISLOG analysis, FAQs

Is Aegis Logistics Limited (AEGISLOG) a good buy?

On the numbers, Aegis Logistics Limited (AEGISLOG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 38.5× earnings, ROE of 16.3%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is AEGISLOG overvalued or undervalued?

AEGISLOG trades at 38.5× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the AEGISLOG share price target for 2031?

AEGISLOG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,367, with an 80% range of ₹342-₹5,471 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability AEGISLOG doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of AEGISLOG reaching ₹2,742 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for AEGISLOG?

AEGISLOG's return on equity of 16.3% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in AEGISLOG?

AEGISLOG's P/E of 38.5x is lower than 35% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on AEGISLOG