AEGISLOG
Aegis Logistics
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Aegis Logistics (AEGISLOG) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is AEGISLOG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Aegis Logistics (AEGISLOG) trades at ₹1,070,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100.
On the numbers, Aegis Logistics (AEGISLOG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 41.8× earnings, ROE of 16.8%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
AEGISLOG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is AEGISLOG overvalued? AEGISLOG P/E vs its sector
AEGISLOG's P/E of 41.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.68% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
AEGISLOG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of AEGISLOG history (11%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEGISLOG 2027 | ₹563 | ₹1,014 | ₹1,835 | +1% |
| AEGISLOG 2028 | ₹438 | ₹1,025 | ₹2,377 | +2% |
| AEGISLOG 2029 | ₹364 | ₹1,022 | ₹2,855 | +1% |
| AEGISLOG 2030 | ₹311 | ₹1,040 | ₹3,336 | +3% |
| AEGISLOG 2031 | ₹277 | ₹1,042 | ₹3,928 | +3% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability AEGISLOG goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for AEGISLOG
- A healthy 16.8% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,855.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 41.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹364.
AEGISLOG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years AEGISLOG compounded at 11%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹563–₹1,835, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
AEGISLOG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
AEGISLOG price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds AEGISLOG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the AEGISLOG price target & forecast page.
AEGISLOG Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. AEGISLOG scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
AEGISLOG MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AEGISLOG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 36.1% | 2.8× |
| Groww | 36.3% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the AEGISLOG MTF page.
AEGISLOG vs peers,sector comparison
About Aegis Logistics: sector, index & market-cap context
Aegis Logistics (AEGISLOG) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹37,524 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the AEGISLOG Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Aegis Logistics's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
AEGISLOG analysis, FAQs
Is Aegis Logistics (AEGISLOG) a good buy?
On the numbers, Aegis Logistics (AEGISLOG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 41.8× earnings, ROE of 16.8%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is AEGISLOG overvalued or undervalued?
AEGISLOG trades at 41.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the AEGISLOG share price target for 2031?
AEGISLOG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,042, with an 80% range of ₹277–₹3,928 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability AEGISLOG doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of AEGISLOG reaching ₹2,016 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for AEGISLOG?
A healthy 16.8% return on equity.
What are the risks in AEGISLOG?
A rich 41.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.