Case study

AEGISVOPAK

AEGIS VOPAK TERMINALS LTD

High-risk on the numbers1y model -9.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

AEGIS VOPAK TERMINALS LTD (AEGISVOPAK) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is AEGISVOPAK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

AEGIS VOPAK TERMINALS LTD (AEGISVOPAK) trades at ₹246,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100.

On the numbers, AEGIS VOPAK TERMINALS LTD (AEGISVOPAK) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 87.8× earnings, ROE of 10.0%, a 41% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

AEGISVOPAK fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹27,266 Cr
Current price
₹246
P/E ratio
87.8×
P/B ratio
6.36×
Book value
₹39
ROCE
7.3%
ROE
10.0%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is AEGISVOPAK overvalued? AEGISVOPAK P/E vs its sector

AEGISVOPAK's P/E of 87.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

AEGISVOPAK P/E
87.8×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

AEGISVOPAK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.0y of AEGISVOPAK history (-1%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
AEGISVOPAK 2027₹121₹215₹382-10%
AEGISVOPAK 2028₹86₹192₹430-19%
AEGISVOPAK 2029₹63₹173₹459-27%
AEGISVOPAK 2030₹49₹152₹481-36%
AEGISVOPAK 2031₹38₹136₹486-43%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability AEGISVOPAK goes up, or doubles?

41%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
29%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
10%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹477 within 5 years

The bull case for AEGISVOPAK

  • AEGIS VOPAK TERMINALS LTD is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹459.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 87.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 10.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 41% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹63.

AEGISVOPAK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 1.0 years AEGISVOPAK compounded at -1%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹121₹382, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

AEGISVOPAK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 1.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.9%
80% range₹121–₹382
P(price ↑)41%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
27.4%
80% range₹63–₹459
P(price ↑)34%
P(price 2×)9%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
42.9%
80% range₹38–₹486
P(price ↑)29%
P(price 2×)10%

AEGISVOPAK price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
AEGISVOPAK simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds AEGISVOPAK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the AEGISVOPAK price target & forecast page.

AEGISVOPAK Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. AEGISVOPAK scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

AEGISVOPAK MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AEGISVOPAK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST33.6%3.0×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.6%3.0×
DhanCHEAPEST33.6%3.0×

Compare every broker on the AEGISVOPAK MTF page.

AEGISVOPAK vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
AEGISVOPAK (this stock)87.8×₹27,266 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About AEGIS VOPAK TERMINALS LTD: sector, index & market-cap context

AEGIS VOPAK TERMINALS LTD (AEGISVOPAK) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹27,266 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the AEGISVOPAK Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of AEGIS VOPAK TERMINALS LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

AEGISVOPAK analysis, FAQs

Is AEGIS VOPAK TERMINALS LTD (AEGISVOPAK) a good buy?

On the numbers, AEGIS VOPAK TERMINALS LTD (AEGISVOPAK) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 87.8× earnings, ROE of 10.0%, a 41% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is AEGISVOPAK overvalued or undervalued?

AEGISVOPAK trades at 87.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the AEGISVOPAK share price target for 2031?

AEGISVOPAK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹136, with an 80% range of ₹38₹486 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability AEGISVOPAK doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of AEGISVOPAK reaching ₹477 (2×) within 5 years is 10%.

What is the bull case for AEGISVOPAK?

AEGIS VOPAK TERMINALS LTD is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in AEGISVOPAK?

A rich 87.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 10.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on AEGISVOPAK