Case study

AEROFLEX

Aeroflex Industries Limited

Tread carefully1y model -4.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

40Score

Aeroflex Industries Limited (AEROFLEX) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is AEROFLEX a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Aeroflex Industries Limited (AEROFLEX) trades at ₹426,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 40/100.

On the numbers, Aeroflex Industries Limited (AEROFLEX) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 40/100, weighing expensive at 84.0× earnings, ROE of 14.1%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

AEROFLEX fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,639 Cr
Current price
₹426
P/E ratio
84.0×
P/B ratio
12.60×
Book value
₹34
Dividend yield
0.09%
ROCE
18.9%
ROE
14.1%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How AEROFLEX ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is AEROFLEX overvalued? AEROFLEX P/E vs peers

AEROFLEX trades at 84.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

AEROFLEX share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.9y of AEROFLEX history (33%/yr drift, 56%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
AEROFLEX 2027₹197₹409₹847-4%
AEROFLEX 2028₹143₹393₹1,079-8%
AEROFLEX 2029₹109₹377₹1,309-12%
AEROFLEX 2030₹85₹362₹1,536-15%
AEROFLEX 2031₹69₹347₹1,750-18%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability AEROFLEX goes up, or doubles?

47%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
44%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹852 within 5 years

The bull case for AEROFLEX

  • AEROFLEX's return on equity of 14.1% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • AEROFLEX's return on capital employed of 18.9% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,309.

The bear case & risks

  • AEROFLEX's P/E of 84.0x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 12.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹109.

AEROFLEX volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.9 years AEROFLEX compounded at 33%/year with annualized volatility of 56%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹197-₹847, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

AEROFLEX price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.0%
80% range₹197-₹847
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)10%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
11.5%
80% range₹109-₹1,309
P(price ↑)45%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
18.5%
80% range₹69-₹1,750
P(price ↑)44%
P(price 2×)24%

AEROFLEX price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
AEROFLEX simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds AEROFLEX hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the AEROFLEX price target & forecast page.

AEROFLEX Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AEROFLEX scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

AEROFLEX MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AEROFLEX with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha42.06%2.4×
Groww42.13%2.4×
Kotak Neo42.02%2.4×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
Pocketful42.31%2.4×
Anand Rathi100.00%1.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST41.93%2.4×

Compare every broker on the AEROFLEX MTF page.

About Aeroflex Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Aeroflex Industries Limited (AEROFLEX) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,639 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the AEROFLEX Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Aeroflex Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

AEROFLEX analysis, FAQs

Is Aeroflex Industries Limited (AEROFLEX) a good buy?

On the numbers, Aeroflex Industries Limited (AEROFLEX) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 40/100, weighing expensive at 84.0× earnings, ROE of 14.1%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is AEROFLEX overvalued or undervalued?

AEROFLEX trades at 84.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the AEROFLEX share price target for 2031?

AEROFLEX's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹347, with an 80% range of ₹69-₹1,750 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability AEROFLEX doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of AEROFLEX reaching ₹852 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for AEROFLEX?

AEROFLEX's return on equity of 14.1% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. AEROFLEX's return on capital employed of 18.9% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in AEROFLEX?

AEROFLEX's P/E of 84.0x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 12.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on AEROFLEX