AFFLE
Affle (India)
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Affle (India) (AFFLE) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is AFFLE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Affle (India) (AFFLE) trades at ₹1,480,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Affle (India) (AFFLE) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 45.8× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
AFFLE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is AFFLE overvalued? AFFLE P/E vs its sector
AFFLE's P/E of 45.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
AFFLE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of AFFLE history (5%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFFLE 2027 | ₹952 | ₹1,470 | ₹2,262 | +0% |
| AFFLE 2028 | ₹784 | ₹1,471 | ₹2,749 | +1% |
| AFFLE 2029 | ₹682 | ₹1,470 | ₹3,142 | +0% |
| AFFLE 2030 | ₹606 | ₹1,466 | ₹3,515 | +0% |
| AFFLE 2031 | ₹552 | ₹1,462 | ₹3,859 | -0% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability AFFLE goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for AFFLE
- A healthy 13.8% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,142.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 45.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹682.
AFFLE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years AFFLE compounded at 5%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹952–₹2,262, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
AFFLE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
AFFLE price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds AFFLE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the AFFLE price target & forecast page.
AFFLE Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. AFFLE scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
AFFLE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AFFLE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 30.8% | 3.2× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.8% | 3.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.8% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the AFFLE MTF page.
AFFLE vs peers,sector comparison
About Affle (India): sector, index & market-cap context
Affle (India) (AFFLE) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹20,840 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the AFFLE Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Affle (India)'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
AFFLE analysis, FAQs
Is Affle (India) (AFFLE) a good buy?
On the numbers, Affle (India) (AFFLE) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 45.8× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is AFFLE overvalued or undervalued?
AFFLE trades at 45.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the AFFLE share price target for 2031?
AFFLE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,462, with an 80% range of ₹552–₹3,859 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability AFFLE doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of AFFLE reaching ₹2,927 (2×) within 5 years is 18%.
What is the bull case for AFFLE?
A healthy 13.8% return on equity.
What are the risks in AFFLE?
A rich 45.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.