Case study

AFSL

Abans Financial Srvcs Ltd

Worth a closer look1y model +3.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

Abans Financial Srvcs Ltd (AFSL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is AFSL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Abans Financial Srvcs Ltd (AFSL) trades at ₹201,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, Abans Financial Srvcs Ltd (AFSL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.6× earnings, ROE of 8.3%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

AFSL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,022 Cr
Current price
₹201
P/E ratio
10.6×
P/B ratio
0.81×
Book value
₹247
ROCE
7.9%
ROE
8.3%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How AFSL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is AFSL overvalued? AFSL P/E vs peers

AFSL trades at 10.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

AFSL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 3.5y of AFSL history (-2%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
AFSL 2027₹129₹208₹336+4%
AFSL 2028₹111₹216₹420+8%
AFSL 2029₹100₹224₹502+12%
AFSL 2030₹92₹233₹585+16%
AFSL 2031₹86₹241₹672+20%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability AFSL goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹402 within 5 years

The bull case for AFSL

  • AFSL's P/E of 10.6x is lower than 85% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.81×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹502.

The bear case & risks

  • AFSL's return on equity of 8.3% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹100.

AFSL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 3.5 years AFSL compounded at -2%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹129-₹336, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

AFSL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 3.5 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.7%
80% range₹129-₹336
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
11.5%
80% range₹100-₹502
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
19.9%
80% range₹86-₹672
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)26%

AFSL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
AFSL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds AFSL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the AFSL price target & forecast page.

AFSL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AFSL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

AFSL MTF margin & leverage across 3 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AFSL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 3 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST29.12%3.4×

Compare every broker on the AFSL MTF page.

About Abans Financial Srvcs Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

Abans Financial Srvcs Ltd (AFSL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,022 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the AFSL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Abans Financial Srvcs Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

AFSL analysis, FAQs

Is Abans Financial Srvcs Ltd (AFSL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Abans Financial Srvcs Ltd (AFSL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.6× earnings, ROE of 8.3%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is AFSL overvalued or undervalued?

AFSL trades at 10.6× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the AFSL share price target for 2031?

AFSL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹241, with an 80% range of ₹86-₹672 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability AFSL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of AFSL reaching ₹402 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for AFSL?

AFSL's P/E of 10.6x is lower than 85% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.81×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in AFSL?

AFSL's return on equity of 8.3% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on AFSL