AGI
AGI GREENPAC LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
AGI GREENPAC LIMITED (AGI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is AGI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
AGI GREENPAC LIMITED (AGI) trades at ₹710,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100.
On the numbers, AGI GREENPAC LIMITED (AGI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.6× earnings, ROE of 15.8%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
AGI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How AGI ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- AGI's market cap of 4,592 Cr ranks in the 64th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AGI's book value of ₹372 ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AGI's promoter holding of 60.4% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AGI's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 3.0% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AGI's 3-year revenue growth of 3.0% ranks in the 30th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AGI's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10x is lower than 77% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is AGI overvalued? AGI P/E vs peers
AGI trades at 12.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
AGI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of AGI history (21%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGI 2027 | ₹398 | ₹719 | ₹1,298 | +1% |
| AGI 2028 | ₹317 | ₹728 | ₹1,670 | +3% |
| AGI 2029 | ₹267 | ₹737 | ₹2,031 | +4% |
| AGI 2030 | ₹229 | ₹746 | ₹2,429 | +5% |
| AGI 2031 | ₹200 | ₹755 | ₹2,846 | +6% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability AGI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for AGI
- AGI's P/E of 12.6x is lower than 80% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AGI's return on equity of 15.8% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AGI's return on capital employed of 19.6% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,031.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹267.
AGI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years AGI compounded at 21%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹398-₹1,298, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
AGI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
AGI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds AGI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the AGI price target & forecast page.
AGI Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AGI scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
AGI MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AGI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.83% | 2.8× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 35.78% | 2.8× |
| Groww | 36.00% | 2.8× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 35.78% | 2.8× |
| Kotak Neo | 35.84% | 2.8× |
| Paytm Money | 36.17% | 2.8× |
| Pocketful | 36.35% | 2.8× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 35.78% | 2.8× |
| Bajaj Broking | 45.00% | 2.2× |
| Share India | 35.96% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the AGI MTF page.
About AGI GREENPAC LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
AGI GREENPAC LIMITED (AGI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,592 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the AGI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of AGI GREENPAC LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
AGI analysis, FAQs
Is AGI GREENPAC LIMITED (AGI) a good buy?
On the numbers, AGI GREENPAC LIMITED (AGI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.6× earnings, ROE of 15.8%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is AGI overvalued or undervalued?
AGI trades at 12.6× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the AGI share price target for 2031?
AGI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹755, with an 80% range of ₹200-₹2,846 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability AGI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of AGI reaching ₹1,420 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.
What is the bull case for AGI?
AGI's P/E of 12.6x is lower than 80% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. AGI's return on equity of 15.8% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. AGI's return on capital employed of 19.6% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in AGI?
High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.