AGIIL
AGI INFRA LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
AGI INFRA LIMITED (AGIIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is AGIIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.
On the numbers, AGI INFRA LIMITED (AGIIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 88% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
AGIIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.9y of AGIIL history (76%/yr drift, 53%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGIIL 2027 | ₹350 | ₹696 | ₹1,379 | +85% |
| AGIIL 2028 | ₹488 | ₹1,266 | ₹3,399 | +237% |
| AGIIL 2029 | ₹706 | ₹2,327 | ₹7,678 | +519% |
| AGIIL 2030 | ₹1,100 | ₹4,295 | ₹17,499 | +1043% |
| AGIIL 2031 | ₹1,739 | ₹8,145 | ₹37,704 | +2068% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability AGIIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for AGIIL
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 88% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹696 (+85%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹7,678.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹706.
AGIIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.9 years AGIIL compounded at 76%/year with annualized volatility of 53%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹350–₹1,379, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
AGIIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
AGIIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds AGIIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the AGIIL price target & forecast page.
AGIIL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AGIIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 39.4% | 2.5× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 39.4% | 2.5× |
| Groww | 39.7% | 2.5× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 39.4% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the AGIIL MTF page.
AGIIL vs peers,sector comparison
About AGI INFRA LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
AGI INFRA LIMITED (AGIIL) is an NSE-listed company.
How the AGIIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of AGI INFRA LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
AGIIL analysis, FAQs
Is AGI INFRA LIMITED (AGIIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, AGI INFRA LIMITED (AGIIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 88% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is AGIIL overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for AGIIL are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the AGIIL share price target for 2031?
AGIIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹8,145, with an 80% range of ₹1,739–₹37,704 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability AGIIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of AGIIL reaching ₹751 (2×) within 5 years is 98%.
What is the bull case for AGIIL?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 88% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹696 (+85%).
What are the risks in AGIIL?
High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.