AHLUCONT
Ahluwalia Cont Ind
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Ahluwalia Cont Ind (AHLUCONT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is AHLUCONT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Ahluwalia Cont Ind (AHLUCONT) trades at ₹840,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100.
On the numbers, Ahluwalia Cont Ind (AHLUCONT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.2× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 25% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
AHLUCONT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is AHLUCONT overvalued? AHLUCONT P/E vs its sector
AHLUCONT's P/E of 21.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.07% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
AHLUCONT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of AHLUCONT history (-18%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AHLUCONT 2027 | ₹401 | ₹650 | ₹1,062 | -23% |
| AHLUCONT 2028 | ₹254 | ₹506 | ₹989 | -40% |
| AHLUCONT 2029 | ₹169 | ₹390 | ₹897 | -54% |
| AHLUCONT 2030 | ₹115 | ₹303 | ₹800 | -64% |
| AHLUCONT 2031 | ₹79 | ₹234 | ₹705 | -72% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability AHLUCONT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for AHLUCONT
- A 21.2× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 13.8% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (20.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹897.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 25% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹169.
AHLUCONT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years AHLUCONT compounded at -18%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹401–₹1,062, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
AHLUCONT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
AHLUCONT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds AHLUCONT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the AHLUCONT price target & forecast page.
AHLUCONT Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. AHLUCONT scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
AHLUCONT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AHLUCONT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.0% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 33.0% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the AHLUCONT MTF page.
AHLUCONT vs peers,sector comparison
About Ahluwalia Cont Ind: sector, index & market-cap context
Ahluwalia Cont Ind (AHLUCONT) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,627 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the AHLUCONT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ahluwalia Cont Ind's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
AHLUCONT analysis, FAQs
Is Ahluwalia Cont Ind (AHLUCONT) a good buy?
On the numbers, Ahluwalia Cont Ind (AHLUCONT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.2× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 25% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is AHLUCONT overvalued or undervalued?
AHLUCONT trades at 21.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the AHLUCONT share price target for 2031?
AHLUCONT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹234, with an 80% range of ₹79–₹705 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability AHLUCONT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of AHLUCONT reaching ₹1,678 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for AHLUCONT?
A 21.2× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 13.8% return on equity. Strong ROCE (20.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in AHLUCONT?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 25% chance of finishing above today's price.