AHLUCONT
Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (AHLUCONT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is AHLUCONT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (AHLUCONT) trades at ₹822,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (AHLUCONT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.7× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
AHLUCONT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How AHLUCONT ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- AHLUCONT's market cap of 5,508 Cr ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AHLUCONT's book value of ₹307 ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AHLUCONT's promoter holding of 55.3% ranks in the 42nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AHLUCONT's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 11.0% ranks in the 43rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AHLUCONT's 3-year revenue growth of 17.0% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AHLUCONT's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04x is lower than 88% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is AHLUCONT overvalued? AHLUCONT P/E vs peers
AHLUCONT trades at 20.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
AHLUCONT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of AHLUCONT history (21%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AHLUCONT 2027 | ₹545 | ₹871 | ₹1,393 | +6% |
| AHLUCONT 2028 | ₹470 | ₹923 | ₹1,811 | +12% |
| AHLUCONT 2029 | ₹429 | ₹978 | ₹2,229 | +19% |
| AHLUCONT 2030 | ₹403 | ₹1,036 | ₹2,659 | +26% |
| AHLUCONT 2031 | ₹387 | ₹1,097 | ₹3,108 | +33% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability AHLUCONT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for AHLUCONT
- AHLUCONT's P/E of 20.7x is lower than 61% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AHLUCONT's return on equity of 13.8% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AHLUCONT's return on capital employed of 20.4% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,229.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹429.
AHLUCONT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years AHLUCONT compounded at 21%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹545-₹1,393, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
AHLUCONT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
AHLUCONT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds AHLUCONT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the AHLUCONT price target & forecast page.
AHLUCONT Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AHLUCONT scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
AHLUCONT MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AHLUCONT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.50% | 3.1× |
| Groww | 32.67% | 3.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.50% | 3.1× |
| Kotak Neo | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Paytm Money | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 32.93% | 3.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 32.50% | 3.1× |
| Bajaj Broking | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Share India | 32.65% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the AHLUCONT MTF page.
About Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (AHLUCONT) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,508 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the AHLUCONT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
AHLUCONT analysis, FAQs
Is Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (AHLUCONT) a good buy?
On the numbers, Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (AHLUCONT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.7× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is AHLUCONT overvalued or undervalued?
AHLUCONT trades at 20.7× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the AHLUCONT share price target for 2031?
AHLUCONT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,097, with an 80% range of ₹387-₹3,108 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability AHLUCONT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of AHLUCONT reaching ₹1,645 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.
What is the bull case for AHLUCONT?
AHLUCONT's P/E of 20.7x is lower than 61% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. AHLUCONT's return on equity of 13.8% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. AHLUCONT's return on capital employed of 20.4% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in AHLUCONT?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.