Case study

AIAENG

AIA ENGINEERING LIMITED

Worth a closer look1y model +8.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

59Score

AIA ENGINEERING LIMITED (AIAENG) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is AIAENG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

AIA ENGINEERING LIMITED (AIAENG) trades at ₹4,776,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100.

On the numbers, AIA ENGINEERING LIMITED (AIAENG) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing premium at 35.0× earnings, ROE of 17.0%, a 62% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

AIAENG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹44,570 Cr
Current price
₹4,776
P/E ratio
35.0×
P/B ratio
5.55×
Book value
₹860
Dividend yield
0.34%
ROCE
21.1%
ROE
17.0%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How AIAENG ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for AIAENG, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is AIAENG overvalued? AIAENG P/E vs peers

AIAENG trades at 35.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

AIAENG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of AIAENG history (15%/yr drift, 26%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
AIAENG 2027₹3,704₹5,171₹7,221+8%
AIAENG 2028₹3,511₹5,599₹8,930+17%
AIAENG 2029₹3,408₹6,063₹10,788+27%
AIAENG 2030₹3,340₹6,565₹12,904+37%
AIAENG 2031₹3,321₹7,108₹15,214+49%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability AIAENG goes up, or doubles?

62%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
75%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
31%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹9,552 within 5 years

The bull case for AIAENG

  • AIAENG's return on equity of 17.0% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • AIAENG's return on capital employed of 21.1% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 62% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹5,171 (+8%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹10,788.

The bear case & risks

  • AIAENG's P/E of 35.0x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹3,408.

AIAENG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years AIAENG compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 26%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹3,704-₹7,221, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

AIAENG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
8.3%
80% range₹3,704-₹7,221
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
26.9%
80% range₹3,408-₹10,788
P(price ↑)70%
P(price 2×)15%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
48.8%
80% range₹3,321-₹15,214
P(price ↑)75%
P(price 2×)31%

AIAENG price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
AIAENG simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds AIAENG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the AIAENG price target & forecast page.

AIAENG Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AIAENG scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

AIAENG MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AIAENG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox28.78%3.5×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST28.75%3.5×
Groww28.78%3.5×
DhanCHEAPEST28.75%3.5×
Kotak Neo30.03%3.3×
Paytm Money29.12%3.4×
Pocketful28.95%3.5×
Fyers30.30%3.3×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST28.75%3.5×
Bajaj Broking30.00%3.3×
Share India28.76%3.5×

Compare every broker on the AIAENG MTF page.

About AIA ENGINEERING LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

AIA ENGINEERING LIMITED (AIAENG) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹44,570 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the AIAENG Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of AIA ENGINEERING LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

AIAENG analysis, FAQs

Is AIA ENGINEERING LIMITED (AIAENG) a good buy?

On the numbers, AIA ENGINEERING LIMITED (AIAENG) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing premium at 35.0× earnings, ROE of 17.0%, a 62% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is AIAENG overvalued or undervalued?

AIAENG trades at 35.0× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the AIAENG share price target for 2031?

AIAENG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹7,108, with an 80% range of ₹3,321-₹15,214 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability AIAENG doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of AIAENG reaching ₹9,552 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.

What is the bull case for AIAENG?

AIAENG's return on equity of 17.0% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. AIAENG's return on capital employed of 21.1% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 62% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹5,171 (+8%).

What are the risks in AIAENG?

AIAENG's P/E of 35.0x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on AIAENG