AIIL
Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd (AIIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is AIIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd (AIIL) trades at ₹597,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.
On the numbers, Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd (AIIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.2× earnings, ROE of 13.1%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
AIIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How AIIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- AIIL's market cap of 50,665 Cr ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AIIL's book value of ₹173 ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AIIL's promoter holding of 68.8% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AIIL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 217.0% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AIIL's 3-year revenue growth of 69.0% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for AIIL, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is AIIL overvalued? AIIL P/E vs peers
AIIL trades at 24.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
AIIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of AIIL history (71%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIIL 2027 | ₹317 | ₹616 | ₹1,197 | +3% |
| AIIL 2028 | ₹249 | ₹636 | ₹1,625 | +7% |
| AIIL 2029 | ₹210 | ₹658 | ₹2,056 | +10% |
| AIIL 2030 | ₹185 | ₹679 | ₹2,489 | +14% |
| AIIL 2031 | ₹160 | ₹702 | ₹3,086 | +18% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability AIIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for AIIL
- AIIL's P/E of 24.2x is lower than 55% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AIIL's return on equity of 13.1% ranks in the 64th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,056.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹210.
AIIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years AIIL compounded at 71%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹317-₹1,197, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
AIIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
AIIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds AIIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the AIIL price target & forecast page.
AIIL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AIIL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
AIIL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AIIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 39.47% | 2.5× |
| Zerodha | 39.41% | 2.5× |
| Groww | 39.55% | 2.5× |
| Dhan | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 39.37% | 2.5× |
| Paytm Money | 39.92% | 2.5× |
| Pocketful | 39.49% | 2.5× |
| Fyers | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Anand Rathi | 39.41% | 2.5× |
| Share India | 39.50% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the AIIL MTF page.
About Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context
Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd (AIIL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹50,665 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the AIIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
AIIL analysis, FAQs
Is Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd (AIIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd (AIIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.2× earnings, ROE of 13.1%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is AIIL overvalued or undervalued?
AIIL trades at 24.2× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the AIIL share price target for 2031?
AIIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹702, with an 80% range of ₹160-₹3,086 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability AIIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of AIIL reaching ₹1,193 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.
What is the bull case for AIIL?
AIIL's P/E of 24.2x is lower than 55% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. AIIL's return on equity of 13.1% ranks in the 64th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in AIIL?
High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.