AJMERA
Ajmera Realty & Infra India Ltd
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Ajmera Realty & Infra India Ltd (AJMERA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is AJMERA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Ajmera Realty & Infra India Ltd (AJMERA) trades at ₹124,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.
On the numbers, Ajmera Realty & Infra India Ltd (AJMERA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.7× earnings, ROE of 11.5%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
AJMERA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How AJMERA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- AJMERA's market cap of 2,433 Cr ranks in the 54th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AJMERA's book value of ₹71 ranks in the 42nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AJMERA's promoter holding of 68.6% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AJMERA's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 28.0% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AJMERA's 3-year revenue growth of 36.0% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AJMERA's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51x is lower than 35% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is AJMERA overvalued? AJMERA P/E vs peers
AJMERA trades at 15.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
AJMERA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of AJMERA history (15%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJMERA 2027 | ₹66 | ₹124 | ₹231 | +0% |
| AJMERA 2028 | ₹51 | ₹124 | ₹300 | +0% |
| AJMERA 2029 | ₹43 | ₹124 | ₹360 | +0% |
| AJMERA 2030 | ₹35 | ₹124 | ₹433 | +0% |
| AJMERA 2031 | ₹31 | ₹124 | ₹502 | +0% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability AJMERA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for AJMERA
- AJMERA's P/E of 15.7x is lower than 72% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹360.
The bear case & risks
- AJMERA's return on equity of 11.5% ranks in the 57th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹43.
AJMERA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years AJMERA compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹66-₹231, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
AJMERA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
AJMERA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds AJMERA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the AJMERA price target & forecast page.
AJMERA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AJMERA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
AJMERA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AJMERA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 38.41% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 38.35% | 2.6× |
| Groww | 38.52% | 2.6× |
| Dhan | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Paytm Money | 44.41% | 2.3× |
| Pocketful | 38.81% | 2.6× |
| Fyers | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 38.35% | 2.6× |
| Share India | 38.38% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the AJMERA MTF page.
About Ajmera Realty & Infra India Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context
Ajmera Realty & Infra India Ltd (AJMERA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,433 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the AJMERA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ajmera Realty & Infra India Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
AJMERA analysis, FAQs
Is Ajmera Realty & Infra India Ltd (AJMERA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Ajmera Realty & Infra India Ltd (AJMERA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.7× earnings, ROE of 11.5%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is AJMERA overvalued or undervalued?
AJMERA trades at 15.7× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the AJMERA share price target for 2031?
AJMERA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹124, with an 80% range of ₹31-₹502 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability AJMERA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of AJMERA reaching ₹247 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.
What is the bull case for AJMERA?
AJMERA's P/E of 15.7x is lower than 72% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in AJMERA?
AJMERA's return on equity of 11.5% ranks in the 57th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.