Case study

AKSHARCHEM

AksharChem (India) Ltd

Screens attractive1y model +0.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

76Score

AksharChem (India) Ltd (AKSHARCHEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about AKSHARCHEM, and the method behind each one.

AksharChem (India) Ltd (AKSHARCHEM) trades at ₹296,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100.

On the numbers, AksharChem (India) Ltd (AKSHARCHEM) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.8× earnings, ROE of 20.6%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

AKSHARCHEM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹247 Cr
Current price
₹296
P/E ratio
10.8×
P/B ratio
2.55×
Book value
₹116
Dividend yield
0.25%
ROCE
26.9%
ROE
20.6%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How AKSHARCHEM ranks against the 2,979 companies in our screener

Is AKSHARCHEM overvalued? AKSHARCHEM P/E vs peers

AKSHARCHEM trades at 10.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

AKSHARCHEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.2y of AKSHARCHEM history (-9%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
AKSHARCHEM 2027₹181₹312₹536+0%
AKSHARCHEM 2028₹145₹313₹678+1%
AKSHARCHEM 2029₹120₹315₹822+1%
AKSHARCHEM 2030₹102₹316₹975+2%
AKSHARCHEM 2031₹92₹318₹1,099+2%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability AKSHARCHEM goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
51%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹620 within 5 years

The bull case for AKSHARCHEM

  • AKSHARCHEM's P/E of 10.8x is lower than 82% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
  • AKSHARCHEM's return on equity of 20.6% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
  • AKSHARCHEM's return on capital employed of 26.9% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹822.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹120.

AKSHARCHEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.2 years AKSHARCHEM compounded at -9%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹181-₹536, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

AKSHARCHEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.2 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.5%
80% range₹181-₹536
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
1.5%
80% range₹120-₹822
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
2.5%
80% range₹92-₹1,099
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)24%

AKSHARCHEM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
AKSHARCHEM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds AKSHARCHEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the AKSHARCHEM price target & forecast page.

AKSHARCHEM Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AKSHARCHEM scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

About AksharChem (India) Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

AksharChem (India) Ltd (AKSHARCHEM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹247 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the AKSHARCHEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of AksharChem (India) Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

AKSHARCHEM analysis, FAQs

Is AksharChem (India) Ltd (AKSHARCHEM) a good buy?

On the numbers, AksharChem (India) Ltd (AKSHARCHEM) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.8× earnings, ROE of 20.6%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is AKSHARCHEM overvalued or undervalued?

AKSHARCHEM trades at 10.8× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the AKSHARCHEM share price target for 2031?

AKSHARCHEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹318, with an 80% range of ₹92-₹1,099 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability AKSHARCHEM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of AKSHARCHEM reaching ₹620 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for AKSHARCHEM?

AKSHARCHEM's P/E of 10.8x is lower than 82% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026. AKSHARCHEM's return on equity of 20.6% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026. AKSHARCHEM's return on capital employed of 26.9% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in AKSHARCHEM?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on AKSHARCHEM

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.