Case study

AKUMS

Akums Drugs And Pharmaceuticals Limited

Tread carefully1y model +2.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

39Score

Akums Drugs And Pharmaceuticals Limited (AKUMS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is AKUMS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Akums Drugs And Pharmaceuticals Limited (AKUMS) trades at ₹697,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, Akums Drugs And Pharmaceuticals Limited (AKUMS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 36.0× earnings, ROE of 8.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

AKUMS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹10,977 Cr
Current price
₹697
P/E ratio
36.0×
P/B ratio
3.30×
Book value
₹211
Dividend yield
0.14%
ROCE
14.9%
ROE
8.4%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How AKUMS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is AKUMS overvalued? AKUMS P/E vs peers

AKUMS trades at 36.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

AKUMS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of AKUMS history (-7%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
AKUMS 2027₹423₹713₹1,203+2%
AKUMS 2028₹350₹730₹1,519+5%
AKUMS 2029₹301₹746₹1,848+7%
AKUMS 2030₹268₹763₹2,173+9%
AKUMS 2031₹246₹781₹2,482+12%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability AKUMS goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,395 within 5 years

The bull case for AKUMS

  • Akums Drugs And Pharmaceuticals Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,848.

The bear case & risks

  • AKUMS's P/E of 36.0x is lower than 38% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • AKUMS's return on equity of 8.4% ranks in the 42nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹301.

AKUMS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years AKUMS compounded at -7%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹423-₹1,203, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

AKUMS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.3%
80% range₹423-₹1,203
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.0%
80% range₹301-₹1,848
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
12.0%
80% range₹246-₹2,482
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)26%

AKUMS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
AKUMS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds AKUMS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the AKUMS price target & forecast page.

AKUMS Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AKUMS scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

AKUMS MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AKUMS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha31.40%3.2×
GrowwCHEAPEST31.30%3.2×
Dhan31.40%3.2×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money31.37%3.2×
Pocketful31.47%3.2×
Anand Rathi31.40%3.2×
Bajaj Broking35.00%2.9×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST31.30%3.2×

Compare every broker on the AKUMS MTF page.

About Akums Drugs And Pharmaceuticals Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Akums Drugs And Pharmaceuticals Limited (AKUMS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,977 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the AKUMS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Akums Drugs And Pharmaceuticals Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

AKUMS analysis, FAQs

Is Akums Drugs And Pharmaceuticals Limited (AKUMS) a good buy?

On the numbers, Akums Drugs And Pharmaceuticals Limited (AKUMS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 36.0× earnings, ROE of 8.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is AKUMS overvalued or undervalued?

AKUMS trades at 36.0× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the AKUMS share price target for 2031?

AKUMS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹781, with an 80% range of ₹246-₹2,482 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability AKUMS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of AKUMS reaching ₹1,395 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for AKUMS?

Akums Drugs And Pharmaceuticals Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in AKUMS?

AKUMS's P/E of 36.0x is lower than 38% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. AKUMS's return on equity of 8.4% ranks in the 42nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on AKUMS