Case study

ALEMBICLTD

ALEMBIC LIMITED

Worth a closer look1y model +4.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

69Score

ALEMBIC LIMITED (ALEMBICLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ALEMBICLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

ALEMBIC LIMITED (ALEMBICLTD) trades at ₹85,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100.

On the numbers, ALEMBIC LIMITED (ALEMBICLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.0× earnings, ROE of 13.0%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ALEMBICLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,176 Cr
Current price
₹85
P/E ratio
7.0×
P/B ratio
0.89×
Book value
₹95
Dividend yield
2.83%
ROCE
6.1%
ROE
13.0%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How ALEMBICLTD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for ALEMBICLTD, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is ALEMBICLTD overvalued? ALEMBICLTD P/E vs peers

ALEMBICLTD trades at 7.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ALEMBICLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ALEMBICLTD history (8%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ALEMBICLTD 2027₹56₹88₹140+4%
ALEMBICLTD 2028₹48₹92₹176+8%
ALEMBICLTD 2029₹43₹96₹212+13%
ALEMBICLTD 2030₹40₹100₹247+18%
ALEMBICLTD 2031₹37₹104₹290+22%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ALEMBICLTD goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
60%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹170 within 5 years

The bull case for ALEMBICLTD

  • ALEMBICLTD's P/E of 7.0x is lower than 92% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.89×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • ALEMBICLTD's return on equity of 13.0% ranks in the 64th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ALEMBICLTD's dividend yield of 2.8% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹212.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹43.

ALEMBICLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ALEMBICLTD compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹56-₹140, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ALEMBICLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.1%
80% range₹56-₹140
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
12.9%
80% range₹43-₹212
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
22.4%
80% range₹37-₹290
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)27%

ALEMBICLTD price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ALEMBICLTD simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ALEMBICLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ALEMBICLTD price target & forecast page.

ALEMBICLTD Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ALEMBICLTD scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

ALEMBICLTD MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ALEMBICLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST30.66%3.3×
Groww30.76%3.3×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money30.85%3.2×
Pocketful31.01%3.2×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST30.66%3.3×
Bajaj Broking35.00%2.9×
Share India30.73%3.3×

Compare every broker on the ALEMBICLTD MTF page.

About ALEMBIC LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

ALEMBIC LIMITED (ALEMBICLTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,176 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ALEMBICLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ALEMBIC LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ALEMBICLTD analysis, FAQs

Is ALEMBIC LIMITED (ALEMBICLTD) a good buy?

On the numbers, ALEMBIC LIMITED (ALEMBICLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.0× earnings, ROE of 13.0%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ALEMBICLTD overvalued or undervalued?

ALEMBICLTD trades at 7.0× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ALEMBICLTD share price target for 2031?

ALEMBICLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹104, with an 80% range of ₹37-₹290 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ALEMBICLTD doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ALEMBICLTD reaching ₹170 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for ALEMBICLTD?

ALEMBICLTD's P/E of 7.0x is lower than 92% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.89×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. ALEMBICLTD's return on equity of 13.0% ranks in the 64th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ALEMBICLTD?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on ALEMBICLTD