ALICON
ALICON
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
ALICON (ALICON) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ALICON a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.
On the numbers, ALICON (ALICON) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 15% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ALICON share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of ALICON history (-34%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALICON 2027 | ₹251 | ₹422 | ₹722 | -35% |
| ALICON 2028 | ₹133 | ₹275 | ₹587 | -58% |
| ALICON 2029 | ₹73 | ₹179 | ₹447 | -72% |
| ALICON 2030 | ₹41 | ₹116 | ₹333 | -82% |
| ALICON 2031 | ₹23 | ₹77 | ₹247 | -88% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ALICON goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ALICON
- ALICON is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹447.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 15% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹73.
ALICON volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years ALICON compounded at -34%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹251–₹722, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ALICON price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ALICON price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ALICON hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ALICON price target & forecast page.
ALICON MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ALICON with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| DhanCHEAPEST | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the ALICON MTF page.
ALICON vs peers,sector comparison
About ALICON: sector, index & market-cap context
ALICON (ALICON) is an NSE-listed company.
How the ALICON Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ALICON's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ALICON analysis, FAQs
Is ALICON (ALICON) a good buy?
On the numbers, ALICON (ALICON) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 15% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ALICON overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for ALICON are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the ALICON share price target for 2031?
ALICON's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹77, with an 80% range of ₹23–₹247 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ALICON doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ALICON reaching ₹1,302 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for ALICON?
ALICON is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in ALICON?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 15% chance of finishing above today's price.