Case study

ALOKINDS

Alok Industries Limited

Tread carefully1y model +3.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

37Score

Alok Industries Limited (ALOKINDS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ALOKINDS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Alok Industries Limited (ALOKINDS) trades at ₹12,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100.

On the numbers, Alok Industries Limited (ALOKINDS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100, weighing ROE of 1.0%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ALOKINDS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,943 Cr
Current price
₹12
Book value
₹-43
ROCE
-4.0%
ROE
1.0%
Piotroski F-Score
2/8

How ALOKINDS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for ALOKINDS, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

ALOKINDS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ALOKINDS history (-4%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ALOKINDS 2027₹8₹12₹20+3%
ALOKINDS 2028₹6₹13₹26+6%
ALOKINDS 2029₹6₹13₹31+9%
ALOKINDS 2030₹5₹13₹36+13%
ALOKINDS 2031₹5₹14₹43+16%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ALOKINDS goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
57%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹24 within 5 years

The bull case for ALOKINDS

  • Alok Industries Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹31.

The bear case & risks

  • ALOKINDS's return on equity of 1.0% ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ALOKINDS's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹6.

ALOKINDS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ALOKINDS compounded at -4%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹8-₹20, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ALOKINDS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.0%
80% range₹8-₹20
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
9.4%
80% range₹6-₹31
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
16.2%
80% range₹5-₹43
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)27%

ALOKINDS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ALOKINDS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ALOKINDS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ALOKINDS price target & forecast page.

ALOKINDS Piotroski F-Score: 2/8, how financially strong is it?

2/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ALOKINDS scores 2/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

ALOKINDS MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ALOKINDS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.93%3.0×
Groww33.12%3.0×
Dhan32.93%3.0×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money33.09%3.0×
Pocketful33.55%3.0×
Fyers34.48%2.9×
Share India33.09%3.0×

Compare every broker on the ALOKINDS MTF page.

About Alok Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Alok Industries Limited (ALOKINDS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,943 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ALOKINDS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Alok Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ALOKINDS analysis, FAQs

Is Alok Industries Limited (ALOKINDS) a good buy?

On the numbers, Alok Industries Limited (ALOKINDS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100, weighing ROE of 1.0%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ALOKINDS overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for ALOKINDS are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the ALOKINDS share price target for 2031?

ALOKINDS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹14, with an 80% range of ₹5-₹43 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ALOKINDS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ALOKINDS reaching ₹24 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for ALOKINDS?

Alok Industries Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in ALOKINDS?

ALOKINDS's return on equity of 1.0% ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ALOKINDS's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on ALOKINDS