ALPL30IETF
ICICI Prudential Nifty Alpha Low-Volatility 30 ETF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
ICICI Prudential Nifty Alpha Low-Volatility 30 ETF (ALPL30IETF) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ALPL30IETF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, ICICI Prudential Nifty Alpha Low-Volatility 30 ETF (ALPL30IETF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 83% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
How ALPL30IETF ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
ALPL30IETF is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.
ALPL30IETF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 5.8y of ALPL30IETF history (15%/yr drift, 14%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALPL30IETF 2027 | ₹27 | ₹32 | ₹39 | +14% |
| ALPL30IETF 2028 | ₹29 | ₹37 | ₹47 | +29% |
| ALPL30IETF 2029 | ₹31 | ₹42 | ₹57 | +47% |
| ALPL30IETF 2030 | ₹34 | ₹48 | ₹67 | +67% |
| ALPL30IETF 2031 | ₹37 | ₹54 | ₹80 | +90% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ALPL30IETF goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ALPL30IETF
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 83% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹32 (+14%).
- Relatively low volatility (14%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹57.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹31.
ALPL30IETF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 5.8 years ALPL30IETF compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 14%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹27-₹39, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ALPL30IETF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ALPL30IETF price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ALPL30IETF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ALPL30IETF price target & forecast page.
ALPL30IETF MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ALPL30IETF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Zerodha | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Groww | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Dhan | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Paytm Money | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Fyers | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 16.00% | 6.3× |
| Share India | 20.00% | 5.0× |
Compare every broker on the ALPL30IETF MTF page.
About ICICI Prudential Nifty Alpha Low-Volatility 30 ETF: sector, index & market-cap context
ICICI Prudential Nifty Alpha Low-Volatility 30 ETF (ALPL30IETF) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ALPL30IETF Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ICICI Prudential Nifty Alpha Low-Volatility 30 ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ALPL30IETF analysis, FAQs
Is ICICI Prudential Nifty Alpha Low-Volatility 30 ETF (ALPL30IETF) a good buy?
On the numbers, ICICI Prudential Nifty Alpha Low-Volatility 30 ETF (ALPL30IETF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 83% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ALPL30IETF overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for ALPL30IETF are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the ALPL30IETF share price target for 2031?
ALPL30IETF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹54, with an 80% range of ₹37-₹80 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ALPL30IETF doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ALPL30IETF reaching ₹57 (2×) within 5 years is 43%.
What is the bull case for ALPL30IETF?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 83% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹32 (+14%). Relatively low volatility (14%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in ALPL30IETF?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.