Case study

AMBIKCO

Ambika Cotton Mills Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +3.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (AMBIKCO) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is AMBIKCO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (AMBIKCO) trades at ₹1,904,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (AMBIKCO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.4× earnings, ROE of 7.7%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

AMBIKCO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,090 Cr
Current price
₹1,904
P/E ratio
13.4×
P/B ratio
1.14×
Book value
₹1,667
Dividend yield
1.94%
ROCE
11.4%
ROE
7.7%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How AMBIKCO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for AMBIKCO, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is AMBIKCO overvalued? AMBIKCO P/E vs peers

AMBIKCO trades at 13.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

AMBIKCO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of AMBIKCO history (8%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
AMBIKCO 2027₹1,295₹1,972₹3,002+4%
AMBIKCO 2028₹1,107₹2,042₹3,765+7%
AMBIKCO 2029₹1,015₹2,114₹4,403+11%
AMBIKCO 2030₹937₹2,189₹5,111+15%
AMBIKCO 2031₹890₹2,266₹5,770+19%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability AMBIKCO goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,809 within 5 years

The bull case for AMBIKCO

  • AMBIKCO's P/E of 13.4x is lower than 79% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.14×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,403.

The bear case & risks

  • AMBIKCO's return on equity of 7.7% ranks in the 39th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,015.

AMBIKCO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years AMBIKCO compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,295-₹3,002, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

AMBIKCO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.5%
80% range₹1,295-₹3,002
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
11.0%
80% range₹1,015-₹4,403
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)15%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
19.0%
80% range₹890-₹5,770
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)24%

AMBIKCO price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
AMBIKCO simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds AMBIKCO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the AMBIKCO price target & forecast page.

AMBIKCO Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AMBIKCO scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

AMBIKCO MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AMBIKCO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha30.85%3.2×
GrowwCHEAPEST30.82%3.2×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money31.28%3.2×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST30.82%3.2×

Compare every broker on the AMBIKCO MTF page.

About Ambika Cotton Mills Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (AMBIKCO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,090 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the AMBIKCO Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

AMBIKCO analysis, FAQs

Is Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (AMBIKCO) a good buy?

On the numbers, Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (AMBIKCO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.4× earnings, ROE of 7.7%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is AMBIKCO overvalued or undervalued?

AMBIKCO trades at 13.4× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the AMBIKCO share price target for 2031?

AMBIKCO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,266, with an 80% range of ₹890-₹5,770 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability AMBIKCO doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of AMBIKCO reaching ₹3,809 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for AMBIKCO?

AMBIKCO's P/E of 13.4x is lower than 79% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.14×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in AMBIKCO?

AMBIKCO's return on equity of 7.7% ranks in the 39th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on AMBIKCO