Case study

APCOTEXIND

Apcotex Industries Limited

Mixed signals1y model +3.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

52Score

Apcotex Industries Limited (APCOTEXIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is APCOTEXIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Apcotex Industries Limited (APCOTEXIND) trades at ₹615,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, Apcotex Industries Limited (APCOTEXIND) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 85.0× earnings, ROE of 24.4%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

APCOTEXIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,187 Cr
Current price
₹615
P/E ratio
85.0×
P/B ratio
16.10×
Book value
₹38
Dividend yield
1.30%
ROCE
19.8%
ROE
24.4%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How APCOTEXIND ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is APCOTEXIND overvalued? APCOTEXIND P/E vs peers

APCOTEXIND trades at 85.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

APCOTEXIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of APCOTEXIND history (13%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
APCOTEXIND 2027₹397₹635₹1,017+3%
APCOTEXIND 2028₹337₹656₹1,276+7%
APCOTEXIND 2029₹299₹677₹1,535+10%
APCOTEXIND 2030₹271₹700₹1,804+14%
APCOTEXIND 2031₹246₹722₹2,119+18%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability APCOTEXIND goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
58%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,230 within 5 years

The bull case for APCOTEXIND

  • APCOTEXIND's return on equity of 24.4% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • APCOTEXIND's return on capital employed of 19.8% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,535.

The bear case & risks

  • APCOTEXIND's P/E of 85.0x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 16.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹299.

APCOTEXIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years APCOTEXIND compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹397-₹1,017, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

APCOTEXIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.3%
80% range₹397-₹1,017
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
10.2%
80% range₹299-₹1,535
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
17.5%
80% range₹246-₹2,119
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)26%

APCOTEXIND price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
APCOTEXIND simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds APCOTEXIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the APCOTEXIND price target & forecast page.

APCOTEXIND Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. APCOTEXIND scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

APCOTEXIND MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy APCOTEXIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww60.00%1.7×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money35.82%2.8×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST34.75%2.9×
Share India34.90%2.9×

Compare every broker on the APCOTEXIND MTF page.

About Apcotex Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Apcotex Industries Limited (APCOTEXIND) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,187 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the APCOTEXIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Apcotex Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

APCOTEXIND analysis, FAQs

Is Apcotex Industries Limited (APCOTEXIND) a good buy?

On the numbers, Apcotex Industries Limited (APCOTEXIND) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 85.0× earnings, ROE of 24.4%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is APCOTEXIND overvalued or undervalued?

APCOTEXIND trades at 85.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the APCOTEXIND share price target for 2031?

APCOTEXIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹722, with an 80% range of ₹246-₹2,119 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability APCOTEXIND doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of APCOTEXIND reaching ₹1,230 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for APCOTEXIND?

APCOTEXIND's return on equity of 24.4% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. APCOTEXIND's return on capital employed of 19.8% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in APCOTEXIND?

APCOTEXIND's P/E of 85.0x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 16.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on APCOTEXIND