APLAPOLLO
Apl Apollo Tubes Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Apl Apollo Tubes Limited (APLAPOLLO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is APLAPOLLO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Apl Apollo Tubes Limited (APLAPOLLO) trades at ₹1,970,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100.
On the numbers, Apl Apollo Tubes Limited (APLAPOLLO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100, weighing expensive at 44.5× earnings, ROE of 25.3%, a 63% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
APLAPOLLO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How APLAPOLLO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- APLAPOLLO's market cap of 54,699 Cr ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- APLAPOLLO's book value of ₹191 ranks in the 70th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- APLAPOLLO's promoter holding of 28.2% ranks in the 7th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- APLAPOLLO's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 23.0% ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- APLAPOLLO's 3-year revenue growth of 13.0% ranks in the 58th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- APLAPOLLO's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09x is lower than 79% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is APLAPOLLO overvalued? APLAPOLLO P/E vs peers
APLAPOLLO trades at 44.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
APLAPOLLO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of APLAPOLLO history (31%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APLAPOLLO 2027 | ₹1,520 | ₹2,164 | ₹3,082 | +10% |
| APLAPOLLO 2028 | ₹1,424 | ₹2,378 | ₹3,972 | +21% |
| APLAPOLLO 2029 | ₹1,385 | ₹2,613 | ₹4,929 | +33% |
| APLAPOLLO 2030 | ₹1,385 | ₹2,871 | ₹5,951 | +46% |
| APLAPOLLO 2031 | ₹1,393 | ₹3,154 | ₹7,142 | +60% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability APLAPOLLO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for APLAPOLLO
- APLAPOLLO's return on equity of 25.3% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- APLAPOLLO's return on capital employed of 31.6% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 63% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,164 (+10%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,929.
The bear case & risks
- APLAPOLLO's P/E of 44.5x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 10.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,385.
APLAPOLLO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years APLAPOLLO compounded at 31%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,520-₹3,082, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
APLAPOLLO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
APLAPOLLO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds APLAPOLLO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the APLAPOLLO price target & forecast page.
APLAPOLLO Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. APLAPOLLO scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
APLAPOLLO MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy APLAPOLLO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 25.48% | 3.9× |
| Zerodha | 24.70% | 4.0× |
| Groww | 24.72% | 4.0× |
| Dhan | 23.00% | 4.3× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 21.98% | 4.5× |
| Paytm Money | 22.04% | 4.5× |
| Pocketful | 28.78% | 3.5× |
| Anand Rathi | 28.96% | 3.5× |
| Bajaj Broking | 23.00% | 4.3× |
| Share India | 29.04% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the APLAPOLLO MTF page.
About Apl Apollo Tubes Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Apl Apollo Tubes Limited (APLAPOLLO) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹54,699 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the APLAPOLLO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Apl Apollo Tubes Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
APLAPOLLO analysis, FAQs
Is Apl Apollo Tubes Limited (APLAPOLLO) a good buy?
On the numbers, Apl Apollo Tubes Limited (APLAPOLLO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100, weighing expensive at 44.5× earnings, ROE of 25.3%, a 63% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is APLAPOLLO overvalued or undervalued?
APLAPOLLO trades at 44.5× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the APLAPOLLO share price target for 2031?
APLAPOLLO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,154, with an 80% range of ₹1,393-₹7,142 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability APLAPOLLO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of APLAPOLLO reaching ₹3,940 (2×) within 5 years is 36%.
What is the bull case for APLAPOLLO?
APLAPOLLO's return on equity of 25.3% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. APLAPOLLO's return on capital employed of 31.6% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 63% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,164 (+10%).
What are the risks in APLAPOLLO?
APLAPOLLO's P/E of 44.5x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 10.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.