Case study

ARIHANTCAP

Arihant Capital Markets Limited

Tread carefully1y model -1.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

44Score

Arihant Capital Markets Limited (ARIHANTCAP) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ARIHANTCAP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Arihant Capital Markets Limited (ARIHANTCAP) trades at ₹76,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.

On the numbers, Arihant Capital Markets Limited (ARIHANTCAP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.7× earnings, ROE of 7.7%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ARIHANTCAP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹827 Cr
Current price
₹76
P/E ratio
20.7×
P/B ratio
1.88×
Book value
₹40
Dividend yield
0.66%
ROCE
11.0%
ROE
7.7%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How ARIHANTCAP ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ARIHANTCAP overvalued? ARIHANTCAP P/E vs peers

ARIHANTCAP trades at 20.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ARIHANTCAP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ARIHANTCAP history (24%/yr drift, 53%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ARIHANTCAP 2027₹38₹74₹145-2%
ARIHANTCAP 2028₹28₹73₹192-4%
ARIHANTCAP 2029₹22₹71₹231-5%
ARIHANTCAP 2030₹18₹70₹274-7%
ARIHANTCAP 2031₹15₹69₹323-9%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ARIHANTCAP goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
47%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹151 within 5 years

The bull case for ARIHANTCAP

  • ARIHANTCAP's P/E of 20.7x is lower than 61% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹231.

The bear case & risks

  • ARIHANTCAP's return on equity of 7.7% ranks in the 39th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹22.

ARIHANTCAP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ARIHANTCAP compounded at 24%/year with annualized volatility of 53%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹38-₹145, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ARIHANTCAP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.9%
80% range₹38-₹145
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.5%
80% range₹22-₹231
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
9.0%
80% range₹15-₹323
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)26%

ARIHANTCAP price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ARIHANTCAP simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ARIHANTCAP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ARIHANTCAP price target & forecast page.

ARIHANTCAP Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ARIHANTCAP scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

ARIHANTCAP MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ARIHANTCAP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST38.01%2.6×
Groww60.00%1.7×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Pocketful38.39%2.6×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST38.01%2.6×
Share India38.21%2.6×

Compare every broker on the ARIHANTCAP MTF page.

About Arihant Capital Markets Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Arihant Capital Markets Limited (ARIHANTCAP) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹827 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ARIHANTCAP Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Arihant Capital Markets Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ARIHANTCAP analysis, FAQs

Is Arihant Capital Markets Limited (ARIHANTCAP) a good buy?

On the numbers, Arihant Capital Markets Limited (ARIHANTCAP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.7× earnings, ROE of 7.7%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ARIHANTCAP overvalued or undervalued?

ARIHANTCAP trades at 20.7× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ARIHANTCAP share price target for 2031?

ARIHANTCAP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹69, with an 80% range of ₹15-₹323 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ARIHANTCAP doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ARIHANTCAP reaching ₹151 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for ARIHANTCAP?

ARIHANTCAP's P/E of 20.7x is lower than 61% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ARIHANTCAP?

ARIHANTCAP's return on equity of 7.7% ranks in the 39th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on ARIHANTCAP