ARKADE
ARKADE DEVELOPERS LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
ARKADE DEVELOPERS LIMITED (ARKADE) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ARKADE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
ARKADE DEVELOPERS LIMITED (ARKADE) trades at ₹140,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100.
On the numbers, ARKADE DEVELOPERS LIMITED (ARKADE) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.1× earnings, ROE of 20.8%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ARKADE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How ARKADE ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- ARKADE's market cap of 2,600 Cr ranks in the 55th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ARKADE's book value of ₹48 ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ARKADE's promoter holding of 71.2% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ARKADE's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 54.0% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ARKADE's 3-year revenue growth of 55.0% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ARKADE's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11x is lower than 75% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is ARKADE overvalued? ARKADE P/E vs peers
ARKADE trades at 14.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
ARKADE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.8y of ARKADE history (-9%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARKADE 2027 | ₹84 | ₹143 | ₹243 | +2% |
| ARKADE 2028 | ₹68 | ₹145 | ₹310 | +4% |
| ARKADE 2029 | ₹59 | ₹148 | ₹374 | +6% |
| ARKADE 2030 | ₹52 | ₹151 | ₹441 | +8% |
| ARKADE 2031 | ₹47 | ₹154 | ₹508 | +10% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ARKADE goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ARKADE
- ARKADE's P/E of 14.1x is lower than 76% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ARKADE's return on equity of 20.8% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ARKADE's return on capital employed of 19.3% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹374.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹59.
ARKADE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.8 years ARKADE compounded at -9%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹84-₹243, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ARKADE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ARKADE price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ARKADE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ARKADE price target & forecast page.
ARKADE Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ARKADE scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
ARKADE MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ARKADE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 31.97% | 3.1× |
| Groww | 32.15% | 3.1× |
| Dhan | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Paytm Money | 32.21% | 3.1× |
| Pocketful | 32.27% | 3.1× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 31.97% | 3.1× |
| Share India | 32.11% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the ARKADE MTF page.
About ARKADE DEVELOPERS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
ARKADE DEVELOPERS LIMITED (ARKADE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,600 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ARKADE Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ARKADE DEVELOPERS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ARKADE analysis, FAQs
Is ARKADE DEVELOPERS LIMITED (ARKADE) a good buy?
On the numbers, ARKADE DEVELOPERS LIMITED (ARKADE) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.1× earnings, ROE of 20.8%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ARKADE overvalued or undervalued?
ARKADE trades at 14.1× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the ARKADE share price target for 2031?
ARKADE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹154, with an 80% range of ₹47-₹508 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ARKADE doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ARKADE reaching ₹280 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for ARKADE?
ARKADE's P/E of 14.1x is lower than 76% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ARKADE's return on equity of 20.8% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ARKADE's return on capital employed of 19.3% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in ARKADE?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.