ARVINDFASN
ARVIND FASHIONS LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
ARVIND FASHIONS LIMITED (ARVINDFASN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ARVINDFASN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
ARVIND FASHIONS LIMITED (ARVINDFASN) trades at ₹459,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.
On the numbers, ARVIND FASHIONS LIMITED (ARVINDFASN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 46.8× earnings, ROE of 14.1%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ARVINDFASN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How ARVINDFASN ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- ARVINDFASN's market cap of 6,132 Cr ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ARVINDFASN's book value of ₹71 ranks in the 42nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ARVINDFASN's promoter holding of 35.1% ranks in the 12th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ARVINDFASN's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 53.0% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ARVINDFASN's 3-year revenue growth of 9.0% ranks in the 47th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ARVINDFASN's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.42x is lower than 8% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is ARVINDFASN overvalued? ARVINDFASN P/E vs peers
ARVINDFASN trades at 46.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
ARVINDFASN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 7.3y of ARVINDFASN history (-0%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARVINDFASN 2027 | ₹303 | ₹483 | ₹769 | +5% |
| ARVINDFASN 2028 | ₹262 | ₹508 | ₹986 | +11% |
| ARVINDFASN 2029 | ₹236 | ₹535 | ₹1,213 | +17% |
| ARVINDFASN 2030 | ₹220 | ₹564 | ₹1,445 | +23% |
| ARVINDFASN 2031 | ₹207 | ₹593 | ₹1,703 | +29% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ARVINDFASN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ARVINDFASN
- ARVINDFASN's return on equity of 14.1% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ARVINDFASN's return on capital employed of 19.6% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,213.
The bear case & risks
- ARVINDFASN's P/E of 46.8x is lower than 28% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹236.
ARVINDFASN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 7.3 years ARVINDFASN compounded at -0%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹303-₹769, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ARVINDFASN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ARVINDFASN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ARVINDFASN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ARVINDFASN price target & forecast page.
ARVINDFASN Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ARVINDFASN scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
ARVINDFASN MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ARVINDFASN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.01% | 3.1× |
| Groww | 32.11% | 3.1× |
| Dhan | 32.01% | 3.1× |
| Kotak Neo | 32.05% | 3.1× |
| Paytm Money | 32.26% | 3.1× |
| Pocketful | 32.41% | 3.1× |
| Fyers | 33.33% | 3.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 32.01% | 3.1× |
| Bajaj Broking | 34.00% | 2.9× |
| Share India | 32.07% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the ARVINDFASN MTF page.
About ARVIND FASHIONS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
ARVIND FASHIONS LIMITED (ARVINDFASN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,132 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ARVINDFASN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ARVIND FASHIONS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ARVINDFASN analysis, FAQs
Is ARVIND FASHIONS LIMITED (ARVINDFASN) a good buy?
On the numbers, ARVIND FASHIONS LIMITED (ARVINDFASN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 46.8× earnings, ROE of 14.1%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ARVINDFASN overvalued or undervalued?
ARVINDFASN trades at 46.8× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the ARVINDFASN share price target for 2031?
ARVINDFASN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹593, with an 80% range of ₹207-₹1,703 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ARVINDFASN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ARVINDFASN reaching ₹918 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.
What is the bull case for ARVINDFASN?
ARVINDFASN's return on equity of 14.1% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ARVINDFASN's return on capital employed of 19.6% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in ARVINDFASN?
ARVINDFASN's P/E of 46.8x is lower than 28% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.