Case study

ARVSMART

Arvind Smartspaces Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +5.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

Arvind Smartspaces Limited (ARVSMART) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ARVSMART a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Arvind Smartspaces Limited (ARVSMART) trades at ₹651,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, Arvind Smartspaces Limited (ARVSMART) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.2× earnings, ROE of 15.5%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ARVSMART fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,985 Cr
Current price
₹651
P/E ratio
16.2×
P/B ratio
4.58×
Book value
₹142
Dividend yield
0.92%
ROCE
12.9%
ROE
15.5%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How ARVSMART ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ARVSMART overvalued? ARVSMART P/E vs peers

ARVSMART trades at 16.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ARVSMART share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ARVSMART history (21%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ARVSMART 2027₹418₹687₹1,131+6%
ARVSMART 2028₹362₹726₹1,455+12%
ARVSMART 2029₹325₹767₹1,807+18%
ARVSMART 2030₹304₹810₹2,160+24%
ARVSMART 2031₹285₹855₹2,565+31%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ARVSMART goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
63%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
31%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,302 within 5 years

The bull case for ARVSMART

  • ARVSMART's P/E of 16.2x is lower than 71% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ARVSMART's return on equity of 15.5% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,807.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹325.

ARVSMART volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ARVSMART compounded at 21%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹418-₹1,131, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ARVSMART price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.6%
80% range₹418-₹1,131
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
17.8%
80% range₹325-₹1,807
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
31.4%
80% range₹285-₹2,565
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)31%

ARVSMART price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ARVSMART simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ARVSMART hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ARVSMART price target & forecast page.

ARVSMART Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ARVSMART scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

ARVSMART MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ARVSMART with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha32.32%3.1×
Groww60.00%1.7×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
Pocketful32.33%3.1×
Anand Rathi32.32%3.1×
Bajaj Broking37.00%2.7×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST32.01%3.1×

Compare every broker on the ARVSMART MTF page.

About Arvind Smartspaces Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Arvind Smartspaces Limited (ARVSMART) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,985 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ARVSMART Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Arvind Smartspaces Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ARVSMART analysis, FAQs

Is Arvind Smartspaces Limited (ARVSMART) a good buy?

On the numbers, Arvind Smartspaces Limited (ARVSMART) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.2× earnings, ROE of 15.5%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ARVSMART overvalued or undervalued?

ARVSMART trades at 16.2× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ARVSMART share price target for 2031?

ARVSMART's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹855, with an 80% range of ₹285-₹2,565 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ARVSMART doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ARVSMART reaching ₹1,302 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.

What is the bull case for ARVSMART?

ARVSMART's P/E of 16.2x is lower than 71% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ARVSMART's return on equity of 15.5% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ARVSMART?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on ARVSMART