Case study

ASAL

Automotive Stampings And Assemblies Limited

Mixed signals1y model +1.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

53Score

Automotive Stampings And Assemblies Limited (ASAL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ASAL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Automotive Stampings And Assemblies Limited (ASAL) trades at ₹506,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.

On the numbers, Automotive Stampings And Assemblies Limited (ASAL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing premium at 26.0× earnings, ROE of 128.0%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ASAL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹802 Cr
Current price
₹506
P/E ratio
26.0×
P/B ratio
22.19×
Book value
₹23
ROCE
25.3%
ROE
128.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How ASAL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ASAL overvalued? ASAL P/E vs peers

ASAL trades at 26.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ASAL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ASAL history (23%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ASAL 2027₹285₹513₹924+1%
ASAL 2028₹225₹521₹1,207+3%
ASAL 2029₹188₹528₹1,482+4%
ASAL 2030₹163₹536₹1,761+6%
ASAL 2031₹145₹544₹2,040+7%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ASAL goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
53%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,012 within 5 years

The bull case for ASAL

  • ASAL's return on equity of 128.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ASAL's return on capital employed of 25.3% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,482.

The bear case & risks

  • ASAL's P/E of 26.0x is lower than 52% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 22.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹188.

ASAL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ASAL compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹285-₹924, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ASAL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.4%
80% range₹285-₹924
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
4.4%
80% range₹188-₹1,482
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
7.5%
80% range₹145-₹2,040
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)27%

ASAL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ASAL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ASAL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ASAL price target & forecast page.

ASAL Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ASAL scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

ASAL MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ASAL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww36.23%2.8×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST36.04%2.8×
Share India36.20%2.8×

Compare every broker on the ASAL MTF page.

About Automotive Stampings And Assemblies Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Automotive Stampings And Assemblies Limited (ASAL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹802 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ASAL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Automotive Stampings And Assemblies Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ASAL analysis, FAQs

Is Automotive Stampings And Assemblies Limited (ASAL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Automotive Stampings And Assemblies Limited (ASAL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing premium at 26.0× earnings, ROE of 128.0%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ASAL overvalued or undervalued?

ASAL trades at 26.0× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ASAL share price target for 2031?

ASAL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹544, with an 80% range of ₹145-₹2,040 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ASAL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ASAL reaching ₹1,012 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for ASAL?

ASAL's return on equity of 128.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ASAL's return on capital employed of 25.3% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ASAL?

ASAL's P/E of 26.0x is lower than 52% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 22.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on ASAL