Case study

ASALCBR

Associated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd.

Worth a closer look1y model +0.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

56Score

Associated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd. (ASALCBR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ASALCBR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Associated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd. (ASALCBR) trades at ₹733,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100.

On the numbers, Associated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd. (ASALCBR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.8× earnings, ROE of 14.6%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ASALCBR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,472 Cr
Current price
₹733
P/E ratio
17.8×
P/B ratio
2.12×
Book value
₹346
Dividend yield
0.27%
ROCE
18.0%
ROE
14.6%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How ASALCBR ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ASALCBR overvalued? ASALCBR P/E vs peers

ASALCBR trades at 17.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ASALCBR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ASALCBR history (22%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ASALCBR 2027₹399₹738₹1,367+1%
ASALCBR 2028₹315₹743₹1,757+1%
ASALCBR 2029₹256₹748₹2,185+2%
ASALCBR 2030₹217₹754₹2,614+3%
ASALCBR 2031₹190₹759₹3,034+3%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ASALCBR goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
51%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,467 within 5 years

The bull case for ASALCBR

  • ASALCBR's P/E of 17.8x is lower than 67% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ASALCBR's return on equity of 14.6% ranks in the 70th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ASALCBR's return on capital employed of 18.0% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,185.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹256.

ASALCBR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ASALCBR compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹399-₹1,367, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ASALCBR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.7%
80% range₹399-₹1,367
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
2.0%
80% range₹256-₹2,185
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
3.4%
80% range₹190-₹3,034
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)27%

ASALCBR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ASALCBR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ASALCBR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ASALCBR price target & forecast page.

ASALCBR Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ASALCBR scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

ASALCBR MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ASALCBR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST35.50%2.8×
Zerodha35.59%2.8×
Groww35.66%2.8×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money41.64%2.4×
Pocketful35.87%2.8×
Anand Rathi35.59%2.8×
Bajaj Broking45.00%2.2×
Share India35.64%2.8×

Compare every broker on the ASALCBR MTF page.

About Associated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd.: sector, index & market-cap context

Associated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd. (ASALCBR) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,472 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ASALCBR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Associated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ASALCBR analysis, FAQs

Is Associated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd. (ASALCBR) a good buy?

On the numbers, Associated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd. (ASALCBR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.8× earnings, ROE of 14.6%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ASALCBR overvalued or undervalued?

ASALCBR trades at 17.8× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ASALCBR share price target for 2031?

ASALCBR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹759, with an 80% range of ₹190-₹3,034 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ASALCBR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ASALCBR reaching ₹1,467 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for ASALCBR?

ASALCBR's P/E of 17.8x is lower than 67% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ASALCBR's return on equity of 14.6% ranks in the 70th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ASALCBR's return on capital employed of 18.0% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ASALCBR?

High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on ASALCBR