Case study

ASTEC

Astec Lifesciences Limited

High-risk on the numbers1y model -1.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

25Score

Astec Lifesciences Limited (ASTEC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ASTEC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Astec Lifesciences Limited (ASTEC) trades at ₹620,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.

On the numbers, Astec Lifesciences Limited (ASTEC) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 175.0× earnings, ROE of -25.2%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ASTEC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,383 Cr
Current price
₹620
P/E ratio
175.0×
P/B ratio
3.54×
Book value
₹175
ROCE
-5.4%
ROE
-25.2%
Piotroski F-Score
0/8

How ASTEC ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ASTEC overvalued? ASTEC P/E vs peers

ASTEC trades at 175.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ASTEC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ASTEC history (5%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ASTEC 2027₹314₹611₹1,189-2%
ASTEC 2028₹234₹601₹1,543-3%
ASTEC 2029₹187₹592₹1,872-5%
ASTEC 2030₹158₹583₹2,155-6%
ASTEC 2031₹134₹574₹2,457-8%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ASTEC goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
48%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,241 within 5 years

The bull case for ASTEC

  • Astec Lifesciences Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,872.

The bear case & risks

  • ASTEC's P/E of 175.0x is lower than 6% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ASTEC's Piotroski F-Score is 0/8. A screener percentile is not available for it right now.
  • High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹187.

ASTEC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ASTEC compounded at 5%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹314-₹1,189, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ASTEC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.6%
80% range₹314-₹1,189
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
4.6%
80% range₹187-₹1,872
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
7.6%
80% range₹134-₹2,457
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)25%

ASTEC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ASTEC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ASTEC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ASTEC price target & forecast page.

ASTEC Piotroski F-Score: 0/8, how financially strong is it?

0/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ASTEC scores 0/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

ASTEC MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ASTEC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST39.51%2.5×
Groww39.74%2.5×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money45.57%2.2×
Pocketful40.20%2.5×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST39.51%2.5×
Bajaj Broking45.00%2.2×
Share India39.74%2.5×

Compare every broker on the ASTEC MTF page.

About Astec Lifesciences Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Astec Lifesciences Limited (ASTEC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,383 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ASTEC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Astec Lifesciences Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ASTEC analysis, FAQs

Is Astec Lifesciences Limited (ASTEC) a good buy?

On the numbers, Astec Lifesciences Limited (ASTEC) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 175.0× earnings, ROE of -25.2%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ASTEC overvalued or undervalued?

ASTEC trades at 175.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ASTEC share price target for 2031?

ASTEC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹574, with an 80% range of ₹134-₹2,457 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ASTEC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ASTEC reaching ₹1,241 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for ASTEC?

Astec Lifesciences Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in ASTEC?

ASTEC's P/E of 175.0x is lower than 6% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ASTEC's Piotroski F-Score is 0/8. A screener percentile is not available for it right now. High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on ASTEC