ASTERDM
Aster DM Quality Care Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Aster DM Quality Care Limited (ASTERDM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ASTERDM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Aster DM Quality Care Limited (ASTERDM) trades at ₹870,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Aster DM Quality Care Limited (ASTERDM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 210.0× earnings, ROE of 10.7%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ASTERDM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How ASTERDM ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- ASTERDM's market cap of 75,809 Cr ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ASTERDM's book value of ₹88 ranks in the 48th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ASTERDM's promoter holding of 53.7% ranks in the 39th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ASTERDM's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -1.0% ranks in the 28th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ASTERDM's 3-year revenue growth of 16.0% ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ASTERDM's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49x is lower than 36% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is ASTERDM overvalued? ASTERDM P/E vs peers
ASTERDM trades at 210.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
ASTERDM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.3y of ASTERDM history (19%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASTERDM 2027 | ₹632 | ₹923 | ₹1,350 | +6% |
| ASTERDM 2028 | ₹572 | ₹980 | ₹1,679 | +13% |
| ASTERDM 2029 | ₹538 | ₹1,041 | ₹2,015 | +20% |
| ASTERDM 2030 | ₹509 | ₹1,105 | ₹2,398 | +27% |
| ASTERDM 2031 | ₹490 | ₹1,173 | ₹2,811 | +35% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ASTERDM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ASTERDM
- Aster DM Quality Care Limited is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,015.
The bear case & risks
- ASTERDM's P/E of 210.0x is lower than 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 9.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- ASTERDM's return on equity of 10.7% ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹538.
ASTERDM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 8.3 years ASTERDM compounded at 19%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹632-₹1,350, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ASTERDM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ASTERDM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ASTERDM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ASTERDM price target & forecast page.
ASTERDM Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ASTERDM scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
ASTERDM MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ASTERDM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 29.63% | 3.4× |
| Zerodha | 29.68% | 3.4× |
| Groww | 29.70% | 3.4× |
| Dhan | 30.00% | 3.3× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST | 29.63% | 3.4× |
| Pocketful | 29.93% | 3.3× |
| Anand Rathi | 29.68% | 3.4× |
| Bajaj Broking | 31.00% | 3.2× |
| Share India | 29.67% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the ASTERDM MTF page.
About Aster DM Quality Care Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Aster DM Quality Care Limited (ASTERDM) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹75,809 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ASTERDM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Aster DM Quality Care Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ASTERDM analysis, FAQs
Is Aster DM Quality Care Limited (ASTERDM) a good buy?
On the numbers, Aster DM Quality Care Limited (ASTERDM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 210.0× earnings, ROE of 10.7%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ASTERDM overvalued or undervalued?
ASTERDM trades at 210.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the ASTERDM share price target for 2031?
ASTERDM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,173, with an 80% range of ₹490-₹2,811 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ASTERDM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ASTERDM reaching ₹1,739 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.
What is the bull case for ASTERDM?
Aster DM Quality Care Limited is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in ASTERDM?
ASTERDM's P/E of 210.0x is lower than 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 9.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. ASTERDM's return on equity of 10.7% ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.