Case study

ASTRAL

ASTRAL LIMITED

Mixed signals1y model +10.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

53Score

ASTRAL LIMITED (ASTRAL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ASTRAL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

ASTRAL LIMITED (ASTRAL) trades at ₹1,444,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.

On the numbers, ASTRAL LIMITED (ASTRAL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing expensive at 73.0× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ASTRAL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹38,793 Cr
Current price
₹1,444
P/E ratio
73.0×
P/B ratio
9.56×
Book value
₹151
Dividend yield
0.28%
ROCE
19.2%
ROE
13.8%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How ASTRAL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ASTRAL overvalued? ASTRAL P/E vs peers

ASTRAL trades at 73.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ASTRAL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ASTRAL history (19%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ASTRAL 2027₹1,114₹1,601₹2,300+11%
ASTRAL 2028₹1,063₹1,775₹2,962+23%
ASTRAL 2029₹1,052₹1,967₹3,678+36%
ASTRAL 2030₹1,046₹2,181₹4,548+51%
ASTRAL 2031₹1,059₹2,417₹5,520+67%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ASTRAL goes up, or doubles?

64%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
79%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
39%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,888 within 5 years

The bull case for ASTRAL

  • ASTRAL's return on equity of 13.8% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ASTRAL's return on capital employed of 19.2% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,601 (+11%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,678.

The bear case & risks

  • ASTRAL's P/E of 73.0x is lower than 16% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 9.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,052.

ASTRAL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ASTRAL compounded at 19%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,114-₹2,300, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ASTRAL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
10.9%
80% range₹1,114-₹2,300
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
36.2%
80% range₹1,052-₹3,678
P(price ↑)73%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
67.4%
80% range₹1,059-₹5,520
P(price ↑)79%
P(price 2×)39%

ASTRAL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ASTRAL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ASTRAL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ASTRAL price target & forecast page.

ASTRAL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ASTRAL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

ASTRAL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ASTRAL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox26.02%3.8×
Zerodha25.10%4.0×
Groww25.22%4.0×
Dhan23.00%4.3×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST22.47%4.5×
Paytm Money22.76%4.4×
Pocketful29.78%3.4×
Anand Rathi29.49%3.4×
Bajaj Broking24.00%4.2×
Share India29.60%3.4×

Compare every broker on the ASTRAL MTF page.

About ASTRAL LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

ASTRAL LIMITED (ASTRAL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹38,793 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ASTRAL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ASTRAL LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ASTRAL analysis, FAQs

Is ASTRAL LIMITED (ASTRAL) a good buy?

On the numbers, ASTRAL LIMITED (ASTRAL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing expensive at 73.0× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ASTRAL overvalued or undervalued?

ASTRAL trades at 73.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ASTRAL share price target for 2031?

ASTRAL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,417, with an 80% range of ₹1,059-₹5,520 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ASTRAL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ASTRAL reaching ₹2,888 (2×) within 5 years is 39%.

What is the bull case for ASTRAL?

ASTRAL's return on equity of 13.8% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ASTRAL's return on capital employed of 19.2% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,601 (+11%).

What are the risks in ASTRAL?

ASTRAL's P/E of 73.0x is lower than 16% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 9.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on ASTRAL