ATGL
Adani Total Gas Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Adani Total Gas Limited (ATGL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ATGL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Adani Total Gas Limited (ATGL) trades at ₹658,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, Adani Total Gas Limited (ATGL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 114.0× earnings, ROE of 14.4%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ATGL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How ATGL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- ATGL's market cap of 72,318 Cr ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ATGL's book value of ₹44 ranks in the 30th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ATGL's promoter holding of 74.8% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ATGL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 6.0% ranks in the 37th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ATGL's 3-year revenue growth of 10.0% ranks in the 50th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ATGL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.46x is lower than 38% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is ATGL overvalued? ATGL P/E vs peers
ATGL trades at 114.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
ATGL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 7.6y of ATGL history (28%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATGL 2027 | ₹374 | ₹666 | ₹1,185 | +1% |
| ATGL 2028 | ₹297 | ₹674 | ₹1,530 | +2% |
| ATGL 2029 | ₹251 | ₹682 | ₹1,851 | +4% |
| ATGL 2030 | ₹217 | ₹690 | ₹2,195 | +5% |
| ATGL 2031 | ₹188 | ₹699 | ₹2,597 | +6% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ATGL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ATGL
- ATGL's return on equity of 14.4% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,851.
The bear case & risks
- ATGL's P/E of 114.0x is lower than 9% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 14.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹251.
ATGL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 7.6 years ATGL compounded at 28%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹374-₹1,185, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ATGL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ATGL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ATGL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ATGL price target & forecast page.
ATGL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ATGL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
ATGL MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ATGL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 36.58% | 2.7× |
| Zerodha | 36.53% | 2.7× |
| Groww | 36.74% | 2.7× |
| Dhan | 36.53% | 2.7× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 36.50% | 2.7× |
| Paytm Money | 36.95% | 2.7× |
| Pocketful | 37.19% | 2.7× |
| Anand Rathi | 36.53% | 2.7× |
| Share India | 36.73% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the ATGL MTF page.
About Adani Total Gas Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Adani Total Gas Limited (ATGL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹72,318 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ATGL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Adani Total Gas Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ATGL analysis, FAQs
Is Adani Total Gas Limited (ATGL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Adani Total Gas Limited (ATGL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 114.0× earnings, ROE of 14.4%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ATGL overvalued or undervalued?
ATGL trades at 114.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the ATGL share price target for 2031?
ATGL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹699, with an 80% range of ₹188-₹2,597 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ATGL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ATGL reaching ₹1,315 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.
What is the bull case for ATGL?
ATGL's return on equity of 14.4% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in ATGL?
ATGL's P/E of 114.0x is lower than 9% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 14.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.