Case study

ATL

ATL

Worth a closer look1y model +0.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

ATL (ATL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ATL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

ATL (ATL) trades at ₹25,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, ATL (ATL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.9× earnings, ROE of 14.4%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ATL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹668 Cr
Current price
₹25
P/E ratio
14.9×
P/B ratio
2.07×
Book value
₹12
ROCE
11.6%
ROE
14.4%
Piotroski F-Score
3/8

How ATL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ATL overvalued? ATL P/E vs peers

ATL trades at 14.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ATL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.9y of ATL history (-20%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ATL 2027₹15₹25₹44+0%
ATL 2028₹11₹25₹56+1%
ATL 2029₹10₹25₹67+1%
ATL 2030₹8₹26₹77+2%
ATL 2031₹7₹26₹89+2%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ATL goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
51%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹50 within 5 years

The bull case for ATL

  • ATL's P/E of 14.9x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ATL's return on equity of 14.4% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹67.

The bear case & risks

  • ATL's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹10.

ATL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.9 years ATL compounded at -20%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹15-₹44, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ATL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.5%
80% range₹15-₹44
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
1.4%
80% range₹10-₹67
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
2.3%
80% range₹7-₹89
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)24%

ATL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ATL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ATL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ATL price target & forecast page.

ATL Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?

3/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ATL scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

ATL MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ATL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Share IndiaCHEAPEST35.24%2.8×

Compare every broker on the ATL MTF page.

About ATL: sector, index & market-cap context

ATL (ATL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹668 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ATL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ATL's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ATL analysis, FAQs

Is ATL (ATL) a good buy?

On the numbers, ATL (ATL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.9× earnings, ROE of 14.4%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ATL overvalued or undervalued?

ATL trades at 14.9× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ATL share price target for 2031?

ATL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹26, with an 80% range of ₹7-₹89 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ATL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ATL reaching ₹50 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for ATL?

ATL's P/E of 14.9x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ATL's return on equity of 14.4% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ATL?

ATL's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on ATL