ATUL
Atul Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Atul Limited (ATUL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ATUL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Atul Limited (ATUL) trades at ₹6,774,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, Atul Limited (ATUL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 25.1× earnings, ROE of 11.5%, a 62% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ATUL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How ATUL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- ATUL's market cap of 19,944 Cr ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ATUL's book value of ₹2,113 ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ATUL's promoter holding of 45.3% ranks in the 23rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ATUL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 9.0% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ATUL's 3-year revenue growth of 5.0% ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ATUL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03x is lower than 90% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is ATUL overvalued? ATUL P/E vs peers
ATUL trades at 25.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
ATUL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ATUL history (13%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATUL 2027 | ₹5,137 | ₹7,409 | ₹10,685 | +9% |
| ATUL 2028 | ₹4,853 | ₹8,103 | ₹13,530 | +20% |
| ATUL 2029 | ₹4,731 | ₹8,863 | ₹16,605 | +31% |
| ATUL 2030 | ₹4,760 | ₹9,694 | ₹19,741 | +43% |
| ATUL 2031 | ₹4,770 | ₹10,602 | ₹23,564 | +57% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ATUL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ATUL
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 62% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹7,409 (+9%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹16,605.
The bear case & risks
- ATUL's P/E of 25.1x is lower than 53% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ATUL's return on equity of 11.5% ranks in the 57th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹4,731.
ATUL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years ATUL compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹5,137-₹10,685, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ATUL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ATUL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ATUL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ATUL price target & forecast page.
ATUL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ATUL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
ATUL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ATUL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 28.34% | 3.5× |
| Zerodha | 28.32% | 3.5× |
| Groww | 28.45% | 3.5× |
| Dhan | 28.32% | 3.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm Money | 28.50% | 3.5× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 28.12% | 3.6× |
| Anand Rathi | 28.32% | 3.5× |
| Bajaj Broking | 29.00% | 3.4× |
| Share India | 28.43% | 3.5× |
Compare every broker on the ATUL MTF page.
About Atul Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Atul Limited (ATUL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹19,944 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ATUL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Atul Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ATUL analysis, FAQs
Is Atul Limited (ATUL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Atul Limited (ATUL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 25.1× earnings, ROE of 11.5%, a 62% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ATUL overvalued or undervalued?
ATUL trades at 25.1× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the ATUL share price target for 2031?
ATUL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹10,602, with an 80% range of ₹4,770-₹23,564 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ATUL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ATUL reaching ₹13,548 (2×) within 5 years is 35%.
What is the bull case for ATUL?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 62% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹7,409 (+9%).
What are the risks in ATUL?
ATUL's P/E of 25.1x is lower than 53% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ATUL's return on equity of 11.5% ranks in the 57th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.