AVADHSUGAR
Avadh Sugar & Energy
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Avadh Sugar & Energy (AVADHSUGAR) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is AVADHSUGAR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Avadh Sugar & Energy (AVADHSUGAR) trades at ₹601,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, Avadh Sugar & Energy (AVADHSUGAR) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.9× earnings, ROE of 5.6%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
AVADHSUGAR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How AVADHSUGAR ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- AVADHSUGAR's market cap of 1,203 Cr ranks in the 42nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AVADHSUGAR's book value of ₹562 ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AVADHSUGAR's promoter holding of 60.4% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AVADHSUGAR's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -13.0% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AVADHSUGAR's 3-year revenue growth of -1.0% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AVADHSUGAR's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25x is lower than 10% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is AVADHSUGAR overvalued? AVADHSUGAR P/E vs peers
AVADHSUGAR trades at 17.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
AVADHSUGAR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.8y of AVADHSUGAR history (10%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVADHSUGAR 2027 | ₹357 | ₹613 | ₹1,050 | +2% |
| AVADHSUGAR 2028 | ₹289 | ₹624 | ₹1,347 | +4% |
| AVADHSUGAR 2029 | ₹251 | ₹637 | ₹1,613 | +6% |
| AVADHSUGAR 2030 | ₹221 | ₹649 | ₹1,907 | +8% |
| AVADHSUGAR 2031 | ₹198 | ₹661 | ₹2,214 | +10% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability AVADHSUGAR goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for AVADHSUGAR
- AVADHSUGAR's P/E of 17.9x is lower than 67% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 1.07×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,613.
The bear case & risks
- AVADHSUGAR's return on equity of 5.6% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AVADHSUGAR's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹251.
AVADHSUGAR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 8.8 years AVADHSUGAR compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹357-₹1,050, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
AVADHSUGAR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
AVADHSUGAR price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds AVADHSUGAR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the AVADHSUGAR price target & forecast page.
AVADHSUGAR Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AVADHSUGAR scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.
AVADHSUGAR MTF margin & leverage across 3 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AVADHSUGAR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 3 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Groww | 34.70% | 2.9× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 34.12% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the AVADHSUGAR MTF page.
About Avadh Sugar & Energy: sector, index & market-cap context
Avadh Sugar & Energy (AVADHSUGAR) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,203 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the AVADHSUGAR Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Avadh Sugar & Energy's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
AVADHSUGAR analysis, FAQs
Is Avadh Sugar & Energy (AVADHSUGAR) a good buy?
On the numbers, Avadh Sugar & Energy (AVADHSUGAR) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.9× earnings, ROE of 5.6%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is AVADHSUGAR overvalued or undervalued?
AVADHSUGAR trades at 17.9× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the AVADHSUGAR share price target for 2031?
AVADHSUGAR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹661, with an 80% range of ₹198-₹2,214 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability AVADHSUGAR doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of AVADHSUGAR reaching ₹1,202 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for AVADHSUGAR?
AVADHSUGAR's P/E of 17.9x is lower than 67% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.07×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in AVADHSUGAR?
AVADHSUGAR's return on equity of 5.6% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. AVADHSUGAR's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.