Case study

AVALON

Avalon Technologies Limited

Tread carefully1y model -1.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

40Score

Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is AVALON a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON) trades at ₹1,965,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 40/100.

On the numbers, Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 40/100, weighing expensive at 98.3× earnings, ROE of 16.9%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

AVALON fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹13,131 Cr
Current price
₹1,965
P/E ratio
98.3×
P/B ratio
18.19×
Book value
₹108
ROCE
19.5%
ROE
16.9%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How AVALON ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is AVALON overvalued? AVALON P/E vs peers

AVALON trades at 98.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

AVALON share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 3.3y of AVALON history (49%/yr drift, 54%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
AVALON 2027₹970₹1,931₹3,844-2%
AVALON 2028₹721₹1,897₹4,992-3%
AVALON 2029₹564₹1,864₹6,160-5%
AVALON 2030₹457₹1,832₹7,339-7%
AVALON 2031₹385₹1,800₹8,406-8%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability AVALON goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
47%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,931 within 5 years

The bull case for AVALON

  • AVALON's return on equity of 16.9% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • AVALON's return on capital employed of 19.5% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹6,160.

The bear case & risks

  • AVALON's P/E of 98.3x is lower than 11% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 18.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹564.

AVALON volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 3.3 years AVALON compounded at 49%/year with annualized volatility of 54%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹970-₹3,844, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

AVALON price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 3.3 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.7%
80% range₹970-₹3,844
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.1%
80% range₹564-₹6,160
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
8.4%
80% range₹385-₹8,406
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)26%

AVALON price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
AVALON simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds AVALON hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the AVALON price target & forecast page.

AVALON Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AVALON scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

AVALON MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AVALON with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST38.60%2.6×
Zerodha39.13%2.6×
Groww38.67%2.6×
Dhan39.13%2.6×
Kotak Neo39.06%2.6×
Paytm Money38.69%2.6×
Pocketful38.90%2.6×
Anand Rathi39.13%2.6×
Share India38.67%2.6×

Compare every broker on the AVALON MTF page.

About Avalon Technologies Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹13,131 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the AVALON Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Avalon Technologies Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

AVALON analysis, FAQs

Is Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON) a good buy?

On the numbers, Avalon Technologies Limited (AVALON) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 40/100, weighing expensive at 98.3× earnings, ROE of 16.9%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is AVALON overvalued or undervalued?

AVALON trades at 98.3× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the AVALON share price target for 2031?

AVALON's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,800, with an 80% range of ₹385-₹8,406 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability AVALON doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of AVALON reaching ₹3,931 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for AVALON?

AVALON's return on equity of 16.9% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. AVALON's return on capital employed of 19.5% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in AVALON?

AVALON's P/E of 98.3x is lower than 11% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 18.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on AVALON