AVL
ADITYA VISION LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
ADITYA VISION LIMITED (AVL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is AVL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
ADITYA VISION LIMITED (AVL) trades at ₹618,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100.
On the numbers, ADITYA VISION LIMITED (AVL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing expensive at 57.0× earnings, ROE of 18.6%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
AVL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How AVL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- AVL's market cap of 7,987 Cr ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AVL's book value of ₹53 ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AVL's promoter holding of 47.1% ranks in the 26th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AVL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 23.0% ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AVL's 3-year revenue growth of 26.0% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- AVL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.83x is lower than 19% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is AVL overvalued? AVL P/E vs peers
AVL trades at 57.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
AVL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.5y of AVL history (63%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVL 2027 | ₹397 | ₹669 | ₹1,127 | +8% |
| AVL 2028 | ₹345 | ₹724 | ₹1,520 | +17% |
| AVL 2029 | ₹320 | ₹784 | ₹1,920 | +27% |
| AVL 2030 | ₹295 | ₹848 | ₹2,439 | +37% |
| AVL 2031 | ₹286 | ₹918 | ₹2,948 | +48% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability AVL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for AVL
- AVL's return on equity of 18.6% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,920.
The bear case & risks
- AVL's P/E of 57.0x is lower than 23% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 11.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹320.
AVL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.5 years AVL compounded at 63%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹397-₹1,127, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
AVL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
AVL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds AVL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the AVL price target & forecast page.
AVL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. AVL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
AVL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy AVL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.17% | 3.1× |
| Groww | 32.27% | 3.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.17% | 3.1× |
| Kotak Neo | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Paytm Money | 32.40% | 3.1× |
| Pocketful | 32.61% | 3.1× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 32.17% | 3.1× |
| Bajaj Broking | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share India | 32.27% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the AVL MTF page.
About ADITYA VISION LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
ADITYA VISION LIMITED (AVL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,987 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the AVL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ADITYA VISION LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
AVL analysis, FAQs
Is ADITYA VISION LIMITED (AVL) a good buy?
On the numbers, ADITYA VISION LIMITED (AVL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing expensive at 57.0× earnings, ROE of 18.6%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is AVL overvalued or undervalued?
AVL trades at 57.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the AVL share price target for 2031?
AVL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹918, with an 80% range of ₹286-₹2,948 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability AVL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of AVL reaching ₹1,237 (2×) within 5 years is 37%.
What is the bull case for AVL?
AVL's return on equity of 18.6% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in AVL?
AVL's P/E of 57.0x is lower than 23% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 11.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.