Case study

BAJAJCON

Bajaj Consumer Care Limited

Worth a closer look1y model -1.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

58Score

Bajaj Consumer Care Limited (BAJAJCON) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BAJAJCON a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Bajaj Consumer Care Limited (BAJAJCON) trades at ₹537,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.

On the numbers, Bajaj Consumer Care Limited (BAJAJCON) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 31.5× earnings, ROE of 24.7%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BAJAJCON fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹7,020 Cr
Current price
₹537
P/E ratio
31.5×
P/B ratio
9.29×
Book value
₹58
ROCE
30.0%
ROE
24.7%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How BAJAJCON ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is BAJAJCON overvalued? BAJAJCON P/E vs peers

BAJAJCON trades at 31.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BAJAJCON share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BAJAJCON history (3%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BAJAJCON 2027₹308₹528₹904-2%
BAJAJCON 2028₹242₹519₹1,111-4%
BAJAJCON 2029₹201₹509₹1,290-5%
BAJAJCON 2030₹168₹500₹1,494-7%
BAJAJCON 2031₹146₹491₹1,651-9%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BAJAJCON goes up, or doubles?

48%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
46%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
21%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,075 within 5 years

The bull case for BAJAJCON

  • BAJAJCON's return on equity of 24.7% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • BAJAJCON's return on capital employed of 30.0% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,290.

The bear case & risks

  • BAJAJCON's P/E of 31.5x is lower than 44% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 9.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹201.

BAJAJCON volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years BAJAJCON compounded at 3%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹308-₹904, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BAJAJCON price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.8%
80% range₹308-₹904
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.2%
80% range₹201-₹1,290
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)15%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
8.6%
80% range₹146-₹1,651
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)21%

BAJAJCON price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BAJAJCON simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BAJAJCON hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BAJAJCON price target & forecast page.

BAJAJCON Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BAJAJCON scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

BAJAJCON MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BAJAJCON with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha36.91%2.7×
Groww37.05%2.7×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST36.90%2.7×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
Pocketful37.17%2.7×
Anand Rathi100.00%1.0×
Share India36.99%2.7×

Compare every broker on the BAJAJCON MTF page.

About Bajaj Consumer Care Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Bajaj Consumer Care Limited (BAJAJCON) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,020 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BAJAJCON Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Bajaj Consumer Care Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BAJAJCON analysis, FAQs

Is Bajaj Consumer Care Limited (BAJAJCON) a good buy?

On the numbers, Bajaj Consumer Care Limited (BAJAJCON) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 31.5× earnings, ROE of 24.7%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BAJAJCON overvalued or undervalued?

BAJAJCON trades at 31.5× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BAJAJCON share price target for 2031?

BAJAJCON's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹491, with an 80% range of ₹146-₹1,651 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BAJAJCON doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BAJAJCON reaching ₹1,075 (2×) within 5 years is 21%.

What is the bull case for BAJAJCON?

BAJAJCON's return on equity of 24.7% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. BAJAJCON's return on capital employed of 30.0% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in BAJAJCON?

BAJAJCON's P/E of 31.5x is lower than 44% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 9.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

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