Case study

BAJAJHLDNG

Bajaj Holdings & Investment Limited.

Worth a closer look1y model +7.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

Bajaj Holdings & Investment Limited. (BAJAJHLDNG) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BAJAJHLDNG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Bajaj Holdings & Investment Limited. (BAJAJHLDNG) trades at ₹11,263,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, Bajaj Holdings & Investment Limited. (BAJAJHLDNG) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.2× earnings, ROE of 11.9%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BAJAJHLDNG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.25L Cr
Current price
₹11,263
P/E ratio
14.2×
P/B ratio
1.71×
Book value
₹6,573
Dividend yield
1.29%
ROCE
11.0%
ROE
11.9%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How BAJAJHLDNG ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for BAJAJHLDNG, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is BAJAJHLDNG overvalued? BAJAJHLDNG P/E vs peers

BAJAJHLDNG trades at 14.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BAJAJHLDNG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BAJAJHLDNG history (19%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BAJAJHLDNG 2027₹7,946₹12,093₹18,405+7%
BAJAJHLDNG 2028₹7,209₹12,985₹23,389+15%
BAJAJHLDNG 2029₹6,801₹13,942₹28,580+24%
BAJAJHLDNG 2030₹6,559₹14,970₹34,163+33%
BAJAJHLDNG 2031₹6,380₹16,073₹40,492+43%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BAJAJHLDNG goes up, or doubles?

59%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
69%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
32%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹22,526 within 5 years

The bull case for BAJAJHLDNG

  • BAJAJHLDNG's P/E of 14.2x is lower than 76% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹28,580.

The bear case & risks

  • BAJAJHLDNG's return on equity of 11.9% ranks in the 59th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹6,801.

BAJAJHLDNG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years BAJAJHLDNG compounded at 19%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹7,946-₹18,405, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BAJAJHLDNG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.4%
80% range₹7,946-₹18,405
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
23.8%
80% range₹6,801-₹28,580
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
42.7%
80% range₹6,380-₹40,492
P(price ↑)69%
P(price 2×)32%

BAJAJHLDNG price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BAJAJHLDNG simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BAJAJHLDNG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BAJAJHLDNG price target & forecast page.

BAJAJHLDNG Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BAJAJHLDNG scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

BAJAJHLDNG MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BAJAJHLDNG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox26.05%3.8×
Zerodha25.20%4.0×
Groww25.22%4.0×
Dhan25.00%4.0×
Kotak Neo25.00%4.0×
Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST22.65%4.4×
Pocketful29.78%3.4×
Anand Rathi29.53%3.4×
Share India29.63%3.4×

Compare every broker on the BAJAJHLDNG MTF page.

About Bajaj Holdings & Investment Limited.: sector, index & market-cap context

Bajaj Holdings & Investment Limited. (BAJAJHLDNG) is a large-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.25L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BAJAJHLDNG Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Bajaj Holdings & Investment Limited.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BAJAJHLDNG analysis, FAQs

Is Bajaj Holdings & Investment Limited. (BAJAJHLDNG) a good buy?

On the numbers, Bajaj Holdings & Investment Limited. (BAJAJHLDNG) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.2× earnings, ROE of 11.9%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BAJAJHLDNG overvalued or undervalued?

BAJAJHLDNG trades at 14.2× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BAJAJHLDNG share price target for 2031?

BAJAJHLDNG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹16,073, with an 80% range of ₹6,380-₹40,492 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BAJAJHLDNG doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BAJAJHLDNG reaching ₹22,526 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.

What is the bull case for BAJAJHLDNG?

BAJAJHLDNG's P/E of 14.2x is lower than 76% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in BAJAJHLDNG?

BAJAJHLDNG's return on equity of 11.9% ranks in the 59th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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